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Should I start Tyjae Spears or Kaleb Johnson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 10:31 PM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

RB · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects
5.6
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB
16.1
2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
6 of 100 at RB
Snap share
42%
Through Week 6
Target share
10%
Through Week 6
Sit

RB · GB · at DET

Market projects
5.2
recent weeks avg
DET D vs RB
18.7
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
15 of 100 at RB
Snap share
22%
Through Week 6
Target share
2%
Through Week 6
Start Spears or Johnson? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Tyjae Spears: 39 percent of the snaps and 8 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Kaleb Johnson's 15 percent of the snaps and 23 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Tyjae Spears?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyjae Spears projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games), Kaleb Johnson 40 (4.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Kaleb Johnson.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB49 · TEN · bye 9

2026 vs carries line 1-5

Market-based projection
6.2 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
129

RB50 · GB · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Market-based projection
3.0 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
133

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The gap

  • Board size301 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyjae Spears, and the board ranks him 129th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaleb Johnson, and the board ranks him 133rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tyjae Spears is 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Kaleb Johnson is 1.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tyjae Spears's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Tyjae Spears has been on the field for 42 percent of TEN snaps, taken 14 percent of the carries, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 2.7 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against BAL he carried 2 times for 7 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for -1 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against HOU he carried 2 times for 0 yards, caught 9 of 9 targets for 28 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against IND he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 7 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Kaleb Johnson has been on the field for 22 percent of GB snaps, taken 29 percent of the carries, drawn 2 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 54 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against TB he carried 8 times for 42 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CHI he carried 7 times for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against DAL he carried 1 time for -2 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyjae Spears played 13 games and scored 111.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB44.

He carried 72 times for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 45 of 50 targets for 264 more yards.

That came to 5-6 carries a game at 3.9 yards a carry and 3-4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kaleb Johnson played 10 games and scored 8.8 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB115.

He carried 28 times for 69 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 2 targets for 9 more yards.

That came to 2.8 carries a game at 3 yards a carry and 0.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 6 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyjae Spears was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tyjae Spears scored 8.6 PPR points a game and Kaleb Johnson 0.9, 7.7 a game between them.

Tyjae Spears finished RB44 that year and Kaleb Johnson RB115.

Tyjae Spears had 44 more carries than Kaleb Johnson, 72 to 28.

Tyjae Spears had 44 more catches than Kaleb Johnson, 45 to 1.

This season Tyjae Spears holds the bigger snap share, 42 percent against 22 percent.

This season Kaleb Johnson holds the bigger share of the carries, 29 percent against 14 percent.

Byes and availability

Tyjae Spears is off in Week 9 and Kaleb Johnson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Tyjae Spears?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyjae Spears projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games), Kaleb Johnson 40 (4.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Kaleb Johnson.

  • Should I drop Tyjae Spears for Kaleb Johnson?

    No. Keep Tyjae Spears: he projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games), Kaleb Johnson 40 (4.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Kaleb Johnson.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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