Start Tyjae Spears or Kaleb Johnson? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 4:31 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Tyjae Spears over Kaleb Johnson

Start

Tyjae Spears

RB · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects: 5.6; recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB: 16.1; 2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 6 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 42%; Through Week 6
Target share: 10%; Through Week 6

Sit

Kaleb Johnson

RB · GB · at DET

Market projects: 5.2; recent weeks avg
DET D vs RB: 18.7; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 15 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 22%; Through Week 6
Target share: 2%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Tyjae Spears?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyjae Spears projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games), Kaleb Johnson 40 (4.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Kaleb Johnson.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tyjae Spears over Kaleb Johnson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tyjae Spears at 5.6 points and Kaleb Johnson at 5.2, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tyjae Spears this week yet, so his 5.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (5.4, 5.0 and 6.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Kaleb Johnson this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.7, 6.0 and 3.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tyjae Spears yet. His market-based projections were 5.4, 5.0 and 6.4 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.6, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Tyjae Spears is 0.2 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Kaleb Johnson yet. His market-based projections were 6.7, 6.0 and 3.0 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Tyjae Spears 0.3 points ahead of Kaleb Johnson on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tyjae Spears and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 16.2 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 99 yards and 0.2 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 18 more yards.

Kaleb Johnson and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 16 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Kaleb Johnson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyjae Spears is not on the injury report.

Kaleb Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Tyjae Spears played 42 percent of TEN snaps, took 14 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyjae Spears, Week 3 against NYG: 28 of 60 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 4 against BAL: 23 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -1 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 5 against HOU: 34 of 63 snaps, 2 carries for 0 yards, 9 targets and 9 catches for 28 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 6 against IND: 11 of 46 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Through Week 6, Kaleb Johnson played 22 percent of GB snaps, took 29 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 3 against ATL: 24 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 6 yards, 3 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 4 against TB: 17 of 60 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 5 against CHI: 9 of 61 snaps, 7 carries for 26 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 6 against DAL: 4 of 75 snaps, 1 carry for -2 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyjae Spears played 13 games for TEN and scored 111.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB44.

He ran 72 times for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 45 of 50 targets for 264 yards.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kaleb Johnson played 10 games for PIT and scored 8.8 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB115.

He ran 28 times for 69 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 2 targets for 9 yards.

He was on the field for 6 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Tyjae Spears?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyjae Spears projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games), Kaleb Johnson 40 (4.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Kaleb Johnson.
Should I drop Tyjae Spears for Kaleb Johnson?
No. Keep Tyjae Spears: he projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games), Kaleb Johnson 40 (4.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Kaleb Johnson.