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Should I start Keaton Mitchell or Ray Davis in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 5:01 AM ET.

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  • : Ray Davis: Listed Questionable (Illness) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Keaton Mitchell: 32 percent of the snaps and 20 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Ray Davis's 12 percent of the snaps and 5 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Ray Davis for Keaton Mitchell?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Keaton Mitchell projects 25 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (2.8 a game over 9 games), Ray Davis 11 (1.2 a game over 9 games).

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB51 · LAC · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 2-5

Market-based projection
4.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
198

RB53 · BUF · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 0-7

Market-based projection
1.5 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
200

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The gap

  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Keaton Mitchell, and the board ranks him 198th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ray Davis, and the board ranks him 200th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Keaton Mitchell is 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Ray Davis is 0.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Keaton Mitchell's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Keaton Mitchell has been on the field for 32 percent of LAC snaps, taken 20 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 1 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 18 targets have come 1.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against DEN he carried 6 times for 11 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against KC he carried 2 times for 4 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against LAR he carried 4 times for 6 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Ray Davis has been on the field for 11 percent of BUF snaps, taken 5 percent of the carries, drawn 2 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have come 4.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against LAR he carried 2 times for 2 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 31 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LV he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BAL he carried 6 times for 30 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Keaton Mitchell played 13 games and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He carried 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 more yards.

That came to 4-5 carries a game at 5.8 yards a carry and 0.7 catches a game.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Ray Davis played 17 games and scored 64.1 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB61.

He carried 58 times for 275 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 13 targets for 86 more yards.

That came to 3.4 carries a game at 4.7 yards a carry and 0.6 catches a game.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ray Davis was available for 4 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Keaton Mitchell scored 4.3 PPR points a game and Ray Davis 3.8, 0.5 a game between them.

Keaton Mitchell finished RB67 that year and Ray Davis RB61.

Keaton Mitchell had 1 more carries than Ray Davis, 59 to 58.

Ray Davis had 1 more catches than Keaton Mitchell, 10 to 9.

This season Keaton Mitchell holds the bigger snap share, 32 percent against 11 percent.

This season Keaton Mitchell holds the bigger share of the carries, 20 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 7, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Ray Davis for Keaton Mitchell?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Keaton Mitchell projects 25 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (2.8 a game over 9 games), Ray Davis 11 (1.2 a game over 9 games).

  • Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Ray Davis?

    No. Keep Keaton Mitchell: he projects 25 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (2.8 a game over 9 games), Ray Davis 11 (1.2 a game over 9 games).

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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