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Should I start Luther Burden III or Trevor Lawrence in Week 8?

Updated Oct 27, 9:11 AM ET.

Start Trevor Lawrence: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Luther Burden III's 61 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Luther Burden III for Trevor Lawrence?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Luther Burden III 104 (11.5 a game over 9 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR28 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 2-5

Market-based projection
12.8 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
66

QB8 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs pass yds line 3-3

Overall rank
68

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The gap

  • Board size292 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Luther Burden III, and the board ranks him 66th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 39.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Trevor Lawrence, and the board ranks him 68th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Luther Burden III is 2.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Trevor Lawrence is 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Luther Burden III's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 7, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 61 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 9 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 1 of its 1 two minute target.

His 4 targets have averaged 9.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against NE he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 4 targets for 130 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 200 times and thrown 8.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 32 of 200 dropbacks and scrambled 7 times.

In Week 4 against CIN he completed 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

In Week 5 against PHI he completed 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 25 yards.

In Week 6 against HOU he completed 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and Luther Burden III 8.5, 12.1 a game between them.

Luther Burden III finished WR48 and Trevor Lawrence QB4, which are two different ladders.

Luther Burden III is a wide receiver and Trevor Lawrence a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Luther Burden III is off in Week 10 and Trevor Lawrence in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Luther Burden III for Trevor Lawrence?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Luther Burden III 104 (11.5 a game over 9 games).

  • Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Luther Burden III?

    No. Keep Trevor Lawrence: he projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Luther Burden III 104 (11.5 a game over 9 games).

Should I drop Luther Burden III?

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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