Should I drop Xavier Hutchinson for Marvin Mims Jr.?

Not on these numbers alone. Xavier Hutchinson projects 38 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.8 a game over 10 games) and Marvin Mims Jr. 37 (3.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Marvin Mims Jr. over Xavier Hutchinson, 3.7 to 3.3 projected PPR points.

Start Marvin Mims Jr. or Xavier Hutchinson? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 11:06 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Marvin Mims Jr. over Xavier Hutchinson

Start

Marvin Mims Jr.

WR · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 3.6; fantasy pts
ARI D vs WR: 34.9; 10th most to WRs (2026)

Sit

Xavier Hutchinson

WR · HOU · vs NYG

Market projects: 3.3; fantasy pts
NYG D vs WR: 31.1; 14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 39 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 54%; Through Week 6
Target share: 17%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Marvin Mims Jr. for Xavier Hutchinson?

Not on these numbers alone. Marvin Mims Jr. projects 37 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.7 a game over 10 games) and Xavier Hutchinson 38 (3.8 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Marvin Mims Jr. over Xavier Hutchinson, 3.7 to 3.3 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Marvin Mims Jr. over Xavier Hutchinson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Marvin Mims Jr. at 3.6 points and Xavier Hutchinson at 3.3, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.7 fantasy points for Marvin Mims Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Marvin Mims Jr. is 13 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (9, 9 and 9 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.3 fantasy points for Xavier Hutchinson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Xavier Hutchinson is 11 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (13, 12 and 12 market sources).

That puts Marvin Mims Jr. 0.3 points ahead of Xavier Hutchinson on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Marvin Mims Jr. and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 34.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 153 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ARI.

Xavier Hutchinson and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 31.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 132 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NYG.

By points allowed to the position, Marvin Mims Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Marvin Mims Jr. is not on the injury report.

Xavier Hutchinson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Xavier Hutchinson played 54 percent of HOU snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 20 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 3 against IND: 29 of 54 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 51 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 4 against DAL: 17 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 46 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 5 against TEN: 27 of 66 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 65 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 6 against JAX: 34 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Marvin Mims Jr. played 15 games for DEN and scored 93.0 PPR points, 6.2 a game, finishing WR66.

He caught 37 of 51 targets for 322 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets and 91 air yards.

He was on the field for 35 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Marvin Mims Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards, 3.0 PPR points.

Marvin Mims Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against KC: 34 of 72 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 4.0 PPR points.

Marvin Mims Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against JAX: 21 of 66 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards, 5.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games for HOU and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.

He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 282 air yards.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Marvin Mims Jr. for Xavier Hutchinson?
Not on these numbers alone. Marvin Mims Jr. projects 37 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.7 a game over 10 games) and Xavier Hutchinson 38 (3.8 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Marvin Mims Jr. over Xavier Hutchinson, 3.7 to 3.3 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Xavier Hutchinson for Marvin Mims Jr.?
Not on these numbers alone. Xavier Hutchinson projects 38 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.8 a game over 10 games) and Marvin Mims Jr. 37 (3.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Marvin Mims Jr. over Xavier Hutchinson, 3.7 to 3.3 projected PPR points.