Should I start Michael Mayer or Noah Gray in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Michael Mayer's market-based projection is 5.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 102nd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Noah Gray's market-based projection is 3.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 123rd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Mayer, and the board ranks him 133rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Noah Gray, and the board ranks him 187th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Michael Mayer has been on the field for 81 percent of LV snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 84 third down targets, had 2 of its 27 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 43 two minute targets.

His 46 targets have averaged 5.2 air yards.

In Week 7 against LAR he caught 3 of 3 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against NYJ he caught 5 of 6 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against SF he caught 3 of 3 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Noah Gray has been on the field for 58 percent of KC snaps, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 65 third down targets, had 1 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have averaged 6.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against SEA he caught 3 of 3 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DEN he caught 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against NYJ he caught 1 of 1 target for 11 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Mayer played 13 games and scored 73.8 PPR points, 5.7 a game, finishing TE38.

He caught 35 of 50 targets for 328 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 70 percent catch rate and 9.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Noah Gray played 16 games and scored 38.8 PPR points, 2.4 a game, finishing TE59.

He caught 21 of 37 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 2.3 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Noah Gray was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Michael Mayer scored 5.7 PPR points a game and Noah Gray 2.4, 3.3 a game between them.

Michael Mayer finished TE38 that year and Noah Gray TE59.

Michael Mayer had 13 more targets than Noah Gray, 50 to 37.

Michael Mayer had 150 more receiving yards than Noah Gray, 328 to 178.

This season Michael Mayer holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 58 percent.

This season Michael Mayer holds the bigger target share, 15 percent against 7 percent.

Byes and availability

Michael Mayer is off in Week 13. No bye is listed for Noah Gray.

What would change the answer

2.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.