Should I start Michael Penix Jr. or Mike Gesicki in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Michael Penix Jr.'s market-based projection is 15.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 36th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Mike Gesicki's market-based projection is 7.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 88th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 112th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Mike Gesicki, and the board ranks him 116th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 93 times and thrown 7.1 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 0 of 93 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 7 against SF he completed 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 2 yards.

In Week 8 against TB he completed 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions and ran 5 times for 11 yards.

In Week 9 against CIN he completed 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 50 yards.

Through Week 9, Mike Gesicki has been on the field for 48 percent of CIN snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 3 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 26 targets have averaged 10.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against BAL he caught 1 of 1 target for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against TEN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 76 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against ATL he caught 2 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Mike Gesicki played 13 games and scored 70.7 PPR points, 5.4 a game, finishing TE41.

He caught 28 of 42 targets for 307 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.2 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 38 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Mike Gesicki was available for 4 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. scored 13.7 PPR points a game and Mike Gesicki 5.4, 8.3 a game between them.

Michael Penix Jr. finished QB33 and Mike Gesicki TE41, which are two different ladders.

Michael Penix Jr. is a quarterback and Mike Gesicki a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Michael Penix Jr. is off in Week 11 and Mike Gesicki in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

8.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.