Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Michael Wilson in Week 8?

The market-based projections

Patrick Mahomes's market-based projection is 16.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 29th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Michael Wilson's market-based projection is 12.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 60th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 108th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Wilson, and the board ranks him 45th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 210 times and thrown 6.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 31 of 210 dropbacks and scrambled 12 times.

In Week 4 against LV he completed 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 6 against LAC he completed 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.

In Week 7 against SEA he completed 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 14 yards.

Through Week 7, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 90 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 24 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 18 of the offence's 76 third down targets, had 7 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 17 of its 45 two minute targets.

His 66 targets have averaged 10.3 air yards.

In Week 5 against DET he caught 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LAR he caught 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DEN he carried 2 times for 11 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Michael Wilson was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Michael Wilson 13.0, 8.2 a game between them.

Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 and Michael Wilson WR10, which are two different ladders.

Patrick Mahomes is a quarterback and Michael Wilson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Michael Wilson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

3.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.