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Should I start Nico Collins or Ollie Gordon II in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 5:16 PM ET.

Start Ollie Gordon II: 79 percent of the snaps and 72 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Nico Collins's 71 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR33 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection
14.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
80

RB40 · MIA · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 4-4

Market-based projection
13.1 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
157

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The gap

  • Board size309 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Nico Collins, and the board ranks him 80th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ollie Gordon II, and the board ranks him 157th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Nico Collins is 2.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 2.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Nico Collins's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Nico Collins has been on the field for 71 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 45 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 36 two minute targets.

His 39 targets have averaged 12.0 air yards.

In Week 6 against JAX he carried 1 time for 5 yards, caught 3 of 5 targets for 74 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYG he caught 2 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against LAC he caught 4 of 4 targets for 55 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Ollie Gordon II has been on the field for 79 percent of MIA snaps, taken 72 percent of the carries, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 57 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 23 third down targets, had 5 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against NYJ he carried 25 times for 103 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for 0 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against NE he carried 19 times for 69 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against DET he carried 16 times for 55 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Nico Collins played 15 games and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets.

That came to 8.0 targets a game, a 59 percent catch rate and 15.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Ollie Gordon II played 17 games and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He carried 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 more yards.

That came to 4.1 carries a game at 2.8 yards a carry and 0.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Nico Collins scored 15.1 PPR points a game and Ollie Gordon II 3.2, 11.9 a game between them.

Nico Collins finished WR8 and Ollie Gordon II RB68, which are two different ladders.

Nico Collins is a wide receiver and Ollie Gordon II a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Nico Collins is off in Week 8 and Ollie Gordon II in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Should I drop Nico Collins?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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