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Should I start Tyler Allgeier or Theo Johnson in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 2:21 PM ET.

Start Tyler Allgeier: 64 percent of the snaps and 52 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Theo Johnson's 35 percent of the snaps and 4 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB32 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs carries line 5-4

Market-based projection
11.6 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
118

TE17 · NYG · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
2.1 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Allgeier, and the board ranks him 118th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Theo Johnson, and the board ranks him 119th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 3.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Theo Johnson's market-based projection is 2.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 105th highest figure of the 208 players with a market-based projection.

Tyler Allgeier's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Tyler Allgeier has been on the field for 55 percent of ARI snaps, taken 40 percent of the carries, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 95 third down targets, had 5 of its 32 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 58 two minute targets.

His 25 targets have come 1.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against DEN he carried 8 times for 19 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DAL he carried 11 times for 147 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 44 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 9 against SEA he carried 17 times for 46 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Theo Johnson has been on the field for 33 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 10.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against ARI he caught 1 of 1 target for 11 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against WAS he caught 2 of 3 targets for 35 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against PHI he was not given the ball.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Allgeier played 17 games and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He carried 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 more yards.

That came to 8.4 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 0.8 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Theo Johnson played 15 games and scored 127.8 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing TE18.

He caught 45 of 74 targets for 528 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 4.9 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Allgeier was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Theo Johnson scored 8.5 PPR points a game and Tyler Allgeier 7.2, 1.3 a game between them.

Tyler Allgeier finished RB39 and Theo Johnson TE18, which are two different ladders.

Tyler Allgeier is a running back and Theo Johnson a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Tyler Allgeier is off in Week 14. No bye is listed for Theo Johnson.

What would change the answer

Tyler Allgeier has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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