Should I start Tyler Higbee or Theo Johnson in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Tyler Higbee's market-based projection is 9.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 91st highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Theo Johnson's market-based projection is 2.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 173rd highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Higbee, and the board ranks him 85th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Theo Johnson, and the board ranks him 200th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Tyler Higbee has been on the field for 64 percent of LAR snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 76 third down targets, had 1 of its 23 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 39 targets have averaged 8.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against LV he caught 2 of 3 targets for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against LAC he caught 1 of 2 targets for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against WAS he caught 1 of 5 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Theo Johnson has been on the field for 33 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 10.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against ARI he caught 1 of 1 target for 11 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against WAS he caught 2 of 3 targets for 35 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against PHI he was not given the ball.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Higbee played 10 games and scored 71.1 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing TE40.

He caught 25 of 36 targets for 281 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets.

That came to 3.6 targets a game, a 69 percent catch rate and 11.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Theo Johnson played 15 games and scored 127.8 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing TE18.

He caught 45 of 74 targets for 528 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 4.9 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Theo Johnson was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Theo Johnson scored 8.5 PPR points a game and Tyler Higbee 7.1, 1.4 a game between them.

Tyler Higbee finished TE40 that year and Theo Johnson TE18.

Theo Johnson had 38 more targets than Tyler Higbee, 74 to 36.

Theo Johnson had 247 more receiving yards than Tyler Higbee, 528 to 281.

This season Tyler Higbee holds the bigger snap share, 64 percent against 33 percent.

This season Tyler Higbee holds the bigger target share, 12 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

Tyler Higbee is off in Week 11. No bye is listed for Theo Johnson.

What would change the answer

7.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.