Should I start Theo Johnson or Jake Ferguson in Week 10?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Theo Johnson, and the board ranks him 195th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 200th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Theo Johnson's market-based projection is 2.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 170th highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jake Ferguson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Theo Johnson has been on the field for 33 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 10.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against ARI he caught 1 of 1 target for 11 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against WAS he caught 2 of 3 targets for 35 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against PHI he was not given the ball.

Through Week 9, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 55 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 82 third down targets, had 1 of its 32 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 55 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 5.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against PHI he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against ARI he was not given the ball.

In Week 9 against IND he caught 2 of 2 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Theo Johnson played 15 games and scored 127.8 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing TE18.

He caught 45 of 74 targets for 528 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 4.9 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jake Ferguson scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Theo Johnson 8.5, 2.5 a game between them.

Theo Johnson finished TE18 that year and Jake Ferguson TE5.

Jake Ferguson had 28 more targets than Theo Johnson, 102 to 74.

Jake Ferguson had 72 more receiving yards than Theo Johnson, 600 to 528.

This season Jake Ferguson holds the bigger snap share, 55 percent against 33 percent.

This season Jake Ferguson holds the bigger target share, 8 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

Jake Ferguson is off in Week 14. No bye is listed for Theo Johnson.

Jake Ferguson is listed as out on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Jake Ferguson has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.