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Should I start Tory Horton or Zay Flowers in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 2:41 PM ET.

Start Zay Flowers: 81 percent of the snaps and 33 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Tory Horton's 29 percent of the snaps and 6 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Tory Horton for Zay Flowers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games), Tory Horton 33 (3.3 a game over 10 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR53 · SEA · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
3.3 pts a game

WR55 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 2-3

Market-based projection
13.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
159

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The gap

  • Board size309 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tory Horton, and the board ranks him 155th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zay Flowers, and the board ranks him 159th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Tory Horton's market-based projection is 3.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 133rd highest figure of the 207 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 3.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 10 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Zay Flowers's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Tory Horton has been on the field for 28 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 45 third down targets, had 0 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against LAC he caught 1 of 1 target for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against SF he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against DEN he caught 1 of 5 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 61 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 31 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 8.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against TEN he caught 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 1 time for 13 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 6 of 11 targets for 66 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tory Horton played 8 games and scored 65.1 PPR points, 8.1 a game, finishing WR96.

He caught 13 of 22 targets for 161 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 2.8 targets a game, a 59 percent catch rate and 12.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Zay Flowers was available for 9 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Zay Flowers scored 14.3 PPR points a game and Tory Horton 8.1, 6.2 a game between them.

Tory Horton finished WR96 that year and Zay Flowers WR7.

Zay Flowers had 96 more targets than Tory Horton, 118 to 22.

Zay Flowers had 1050 more receiving yards than Tory Horton, 1211 to 161.

This season Zay Flowers holds the bigger snap share, 61 percent against 28 percent.

This season Zay Flowers holds the bigger target share, 31 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

Zay Flowers is off in Week 13. No bye is listed for Tory Horton.

What would change the answer

Zay Flowers has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tory Horton for Zay Flowers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games), Tory Horton 33 (3.3 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for Tory Horton?

    No. Keep Zay Flowers: he projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games), Tory Horton 33 (3.3 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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