Marvin Bagley vs Noah Clowney: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Noah Clowney in points leagues (22.4 fantasy points a game to 22.4) and Marvin Bagley in 9-cat leagues (182nd against 206th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #169
- 22.4 FP/G, slot 15.01
- 9-cat leagues
- #182
- -3.3 z, slot 16.02
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #167
- 22.4 FP/G, slot 14.11
- 9-cat leagues
- #206
- -3.9 z, slot 18.02
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Noah Clowney. 22.4 fantasy points per game against 22.4, 167th on our board to 169th.
9-cat leagues: Marvin Bagley instead, -3.3 in summed z-scores against -3.9 (182nd to 206th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Marvin Bagley is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Noah Clowney in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Marvin Bagley produces more: 40.3 fantasy points to 30.0, on 20.0 minutes a night against 27.0. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Marvin Bagley plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Noah Clowney 3. For that week alone, start Noah Clowney: 67.3 projected fantasy points to 44.9 for Marvin Bagley.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Marvin Bagley | Noah Clowney |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 22.4 | 22.4 |
| Minutes | 20.0 | 27.0 |
| PointsPTS | 10.4 | 12.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 6.1 | 4.1 |
| AssistsAST | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| StealsSTL | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Threes3PM | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 61.8% | 39.6% |
| Free throw %FT% | 66.0% | 80.4% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 60 | 66 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Marvin Bagley | Noah Clowney |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 40.3 | 30.0 |
| Points | 18.8 | 16.4 |
| Rebounds | 11.0 | 5.5 |
| Assists | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Threes | 0.7 | 2.6 |
| Turnovers | 1.8 | 2.1 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
Advertisement
9-category z-scores
| Category | Marvin Bagley | Noah Clowney |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.1 | -0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.1 | -0.8 |
| AssistsAST | -1.1 | -1.0 |
| StealsSTL | -1.6 | -0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.1 | -0.0 |
| Threes3PM | -1.3 | +0.3 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +1.4 | -1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -1.0 | +0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.1 | +0.4 |
| Total | -3.3 | -3.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Noah Clowney.
| Punt | Marvin Bagley | Noah Clowney |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.3 (#177) | -3.2 (#234) |
| REB | -3.8 (#241) | -3.3 (#216) |
| AST | -2.2 (#154) | -2.9 (#195) |
| STL | -1.9 (#133) | -3.3 (#199) |
| BLK | -3.7 (#214) | -4.2 (#236) |
| 3PM | -2.0 (#139) | -4.2 (#235) |
| FG% | -5.5 (#273) | -2.7 (#146) |
| FT% | -2.3 (#146) | -4.0 (#218) |
| TO | -4.7 (#197) | -4.5 (#190) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Marvin Bagley: 2 games (Thu @OKC, Sat NOP).
- Noah Clowney: 3 games (Wed CHA, Sat @CLE, Sun IND), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Marvin Bagley: 23.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.4 on the board.
- Noah Clowney: 17.8 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.4 on the board.
Advertisement
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Marvin Bagley or Noah Clowney in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Noah Clowney. 22.4 fantasy points per game against 22.4, 167th on our board to 169th. 9-cat leagues: Marvin Bagley instead, -3.3 in summed z-scores against -3.9 (182nd to 206th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Marvin Bagley or Noah Clowney?
Category by category, Marvin Bagley is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Noah Clowney in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Marvin Bagley or Noah Clowney?
Marvin Bagley plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Noah Clowney 3. For that week alone, start Noah Clowney: 67.3 projected fantasy points to 44.9 for Marvin Bagley.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 14, 2026 at 6:23 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number