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Ace Bailey or Bilal Coulibaly? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), SFs ranked 23rd and 25th at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Oct 22, 3:54 PM ET.

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FP/G
25.0
9-cat
#159
Last 1 FP
30.5

3 games in Week 1

FP/G
26.7
9-cat
#101
Last 1 FP
32.9

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Bilal Coulibaly. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 26.7 fantasy points to 25.0.

9-cat leagues: Bilal Coulibaly again, -2.5 category value for the week to -5.4.

Bilal Coulibaly has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Ace Bailey's minutes are down: 24.3 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 27.4 on the board.

Bilal Coulibaly's minutes are up: 29.0 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 26.4 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Ace Bailey rookie cardsBilal Coulibaly rookie cards

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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekAce BaileyBilal Coulibaly
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)22
Back-to-backs01
Games, Week 233
Minutes, last games24.3 (last 1)29.0 (last 1)
Minutes, board27.426.4
Shots per 36, last games16.37.5
InjuryNone listedNone listed
Projected fantasy points50.053.4
Projected 9-cat value-5.4-2.5

Schedule: Ace Bailey Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL. Bilal Coulibaly Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatAce BaileyBilal Coulibaly
Points27.423.4
Rebounds8.58.4
Assists3.85.0
Steals1.63.0
Blocks1.72.1
Threes3.82.3
Turnovers2.92.7

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 1 games of 2026-27. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Bilal Coulibaly, 26.7 fantasy points per game to 25.0.

9-cat leagues: Bilal Coulibaly again, 101st overall against 159th.

Per game, side by side

StatAce BaileyBilal Coulibaly
Fantasy points per game25.026.7
Minutes27.426.4
PointsPTS13.711.7
ReboundsREB4.24.2
AssistsAST1.92.5
StealsSTL0.81.5
BlocksBLK0.81.0
Threes3PM1.91.2
Field goal %FG%44.3%43.5%
Free throw %FT%75.0%74.1%
TurnoversTO1.51.4

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Ace Bailey playing tonight? · Is Bilal Coulibaly playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Ace Bailey or Bilal Coulibaly in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Bilal Coulibaly. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 26.7 fantasy points to 25.0. 9-cat leagues: Bilal Coulibaly again, -2.5 category value for the week to -5.4. Bilal Coulibaly has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Ace Bailey's minutes are down: 24.3 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 27.4 on the board. Bilal Coulibaly's minutes are up: 29.0 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 26.4 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Ace Bailey or Bilal Coulibaly?

    Points leagues: Bilal Coulibaly, 26.7 fantasy points per game to 25.0. 9-cat leagues: Bilal Coulibaly again, 101st overall against 159th.

  • Who wins more categories, Ace Bailey or Bilal Coulibaly?

    Ace Bailey is ahead in 3 (points, threes, free throw percentage); Bilal Coulibaly in 5 (assists, steals, blocks, field goal percentage, turnovers), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 3:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number