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Ace Bailey or Draymond Green? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), SFs ranked 24th and 25th at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Oct 22, 3:54 PM ET.

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FP/G
25.0
9-cat
#159
Last 1 FP
30.5

3 games in Week 1

Week 1 pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

FP/G
24.9
9-cat
#192
Last 1 FP
20.8

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Ace Bailey. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 25.0 fantasy points to 24.9.

9-cat leagues: Ace Bailey again, -5.4 category value for the week to -7.2.

Draymond Green has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Ace Bailey's minutes are down: 24.3 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 27.4 on the board.

Draymond Green's minutes are down: 21.2 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 27.1 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Ace Bailey rookie cardsDraymond Green rookie cards

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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekAce BaileyDraymond Green
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)22
Back-to-backs01
Games, Week 234
Minutes, last games24.3 (last 1)21.2 (last 1)
Minutes, board27.427.1
Shots per 36, last games16.36.8
InjuryNone listedNone listed
Projected fantasy points50.049.8
Projected 9-cat value-5.4-7.2

Schedule: Ace Bailey Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL. Draymond Green Wed @LAL, Fri MEM, Sat @PHX.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatAce BaileyDraymond Green
Points27.416.0
Rebounds8.510.8
Assists3.811.4
Steals1.61.8
Blocks1.71.3
Threes3.82.8
Turnovers2.95.5

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 1 games of 2026-27. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Ace Bailey, 25.0 fantasy points per game to 24.9.

9-cat leagues: Ace Bailey again, 159th overall against 192nd.

Ace Bailey vs Draymond Green: the full comparison, per 36 and by punt build

Per game, side by side

StatAce BaileyDraymond Green
Fantasy points per game25.024.9
Minutes27.427.1
PointsPTS13.78.0
ReboundsREB4.25.4
AssistsAST1.95.7
StealsSTL0.80.9
BlocksBLK0.80.6
Threes3PM1.91.4
Field goal %FG%44.3%41.2%
Free throw %FT%75.0%70.2%
TurnoversTO1.52.7

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Ace Bailey playing tonight? · Is Draymond Green playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Ace Bailey or Draymond Green in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Ace Bailey. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 25.0 fantasy points to 24.9. 9-cat leagues: Ace Bailey again, -5.4 category value for the week to -7.2. Draymond Green has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Ace Bailey's minutes are down: 24.3 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 27.4 on the board. Draymond Green's minutes are down: 21.2 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 27.1 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Ace Bailey or Draymond Green?

    Points leagues: Ace Bailey, 25.0 fantasy points per game to 24.9. 9-cat leagues: Ace Bailey again, 159th overall against 192nd.

  • Who wins more categories, Ace Bailey or Draymond Green?

    Ace Bailey is ahead in 5 (points, blocks, threes, free throw percentage, turnovers); Draymond Green in 3 (rebounds, assists, steals), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 3:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number