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Alex Sarr or Jaren Jackson Jr.? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cs ranked 11th and 13th at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Oct 21, 8:56 PM ET.

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FP/G
35.9
9-cat
#46
Last 10 FP
27.3

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in points leagues.

FP/G
34.5
9-cat
#42
Last 10 FP
39.1

3 games in Week 1

Week 1 pick in 9-cat leagues.

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Alex Sarr. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 35.9 fantasy points to 34.5.

9-cat leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr. instead, 1.6 category value for the week to 1.4, because his category mix is worth more there.

Alex Sarr has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Alex Sarr's minutes are down: 22.2 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 27.2 on the board.

Jaren Jackson Jr.'s minutes are down: 27.4 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 30.3 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Alex Sarr rookie cards

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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekAlex SarrJaren Jackson Jr.
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)22
Back-to-backs10
Games, Week 233
Minutes, last games22.2 (last 5)27.4 (last 5)
Minutes, board27.230.3
Shots per 36, last games17.822.4
InjuryNone listedNone listed
Projected fantasy points71.869.1
Projected 9-cat value1.41.6

Schedule: Alex Sarr Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI. Jaren Jackson Jr. Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatAlex SarrJaren Jackson Jr.
Points32.638.8
Rebounds14.811.3
Assists5.43.9
Steals1.62.2
Blocks4.02.9
Threes2.13.5
Turnovers3.44.5

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2025-26. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Alex Sarr, 35.9 fantasy points per game to 34.5.

9-cat leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr. instead, 42nd overall against 46th, because the categories reward a different mix.

Per game, side by side

StatAlex SarrJaren Jackson Jr.
Fantasy points per game35.934.5
Minutes27.230.3
PointsPTS16.319.4
ReboundsREB7.45.7
AssistsAST2.72.0
StealsSTL0.81.1
BlocksBLK2.01.4
Threes3PM1.01.8
Field goal %FG%48.2%47.6%
Free throw %FT%69.2%80.3%
TurnoversTO1.72.2

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Alex Sarr playing tonight? · Is Jaren Jackson Jr. playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Alex Sarr or Jaren Jackson Jr. in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Alex Sarr. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 35.9 fantasy points to 34.5. 9-cat leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr. instead, 1.6 category value for the week to 1.4, because his category mix is worth more there. Alex Sarr has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Alex Sarr's minutes are down: 22.2 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 27.2 on the board. Jaren Jackson Jr.'s minutes are down: 27.4 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 30.3 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Alex Sarr or Jaren Jackson Jr.?

    Points leagues: Alex Sarr, 35.9 fantasy points per game to 34.5. 9-cat leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr. instead, 42nd overall against 46th, because the categories reward a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Alex Sarr or Jaren Jackson Jr.?

    Alex Sarr is ahead in 5 (rebounds, assists, blocks, field goal percentage, turnovers); Jaren Jackson Jr. in 4 (points, steals, threes, free throw percentage), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 21, 2026 at 8:56 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number