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Jaren Jackson Jr. or Zion Williamson? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cs ranked 10th and 13th at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Oct 21, 8:56 PM ET.

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FP/G
34.5
9-cat
#42
Last 10 FP
39.1

3 games in Week 1

Week 1 pick in 9-cat leagues.

FP/G
35.2
9-cat
#101
Last 10 FP
30.5

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in points leagues.

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Zion Williamson. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 35.2 fantasy points to 34.5.

9-cat leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr. instead, 1.6 category value for the week to -2.6, because his category mix is worth more there.

Zion Williamson has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Jaren Jackson Jr.'s minutes are down: 27.4 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 30.3 on the board.

Zion Williamson played 28.3 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, in line with his 29.7 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Zion Williamson rookie cards

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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekJaren Jackson Jr.Zion Williamson
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)22
Back-to-backs01
Games, Week 233
Minutes, last games27.4 (last 5)28.3 (last 5)
Minutes, board30.329.7
Shots per 36, last games22.412.7
InjuryNone listedNone listed
Projected fantasy points69.170.3
Projected 9-cat value1.6-2.6

Schedule: Jaren Jackson Jr. Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL. Zion Williamson Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatJaren Jackson Jr.Zion Williamson
Points38.842.0
Rebounds11.311.4
Assists3.96.4
Steals2.21.9
Blocks2.91.1
Threes3.50.0
Turnovers4.54.1

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2025-26. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Zion Williamson, 35.2 fantasy points per game to 34.5.

9-cat leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr. instead, 42nd overall against 101st, because the categories reward a different mix.

Per game, side by side

StatJaren Jackson Jr.Zion Williamson
Fantasy points per game34.535.2
Minutes30.329.7
PointsPTS19.421.0
ReboundsREB5.75.7
AssistsAST2.03.2
StealsSTL1.11.0
BlocksBLK1.40.5
Threes3PM1.80.0
Field goal %FG%47.6%60.0%
Free throw %FT%80.3%71.6%
TurnoversTO2.22.0

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Jaren Jackson Jr. playing tonight? · Is Zion Williamson playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Jaren Jackson Jr. or Zion Williamson in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Zion Williamson. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 35.2 fantasy points to 34.5. 9-cat leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr. instead, 1.6 category value for the week to -2.6, because his category mix is worth more there. Zion Williamson has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Jaren Jackson Jr.'s minutes are down: 27.4 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 30.3 on the board. Zion Williamson played 28.3 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, in line with his 29.7 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Jaren Jackson Jr. or Zion Williamson?

    Points leagues: Zion Williamson, 35.2 fantasy points per game to 34.5. 9-cat leagues: Jaren Jackson Jr. instead, 42nd overall against 101st, because the categories reward a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Jaren Jackson Jr. or Zion Williamson?

    Jaren Jackson Jr. is ahead in 4 (steals, blocks, threes, free throw percentage); Zion Williamson in 4 (points, assists, field goal percentage, turnovers), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 21, 2026 at 8:56 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number