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Deandre Ayton or John Collins? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cs ranked 24th and 33rd at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Oct 25, 8:28 AM ET.

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FP/G
25.0
9-cat
#102
Last 3 FP
16.2

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in 9-cat leagues.

FP/G
25.0
9-cat
#86
Last 2 FP
25.7

3 games in Week 1

Week 1 pick in points leagues.

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start John Collins. John Collins has 1 game counted to 0 for Deandre Ayton, for 25.0 projected fantasy points against 0.0.

9-cat leagues: Deandre Ayton instead, 0.0 category value for the week to -1.0, because his category mix is worth more there.

Deandre Ayton has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Deandre Ayton's minutes are down: 15.3 a game over his last 3 games of 2026-27, against 25.2 on the board.

John Collins played 27.4 minutes a game over his last 2 games of 2026-27, in line with his 27.2 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

John Collins rookie cards

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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekDeandre AytonJohn Collins
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)01
Back-to-backs10
Games, Week 233
Minutes, last games15.3 (last 3)27.4 (last 2)
Minutes, board25.227.2
Shots per 36, last games10.214.4
InjuryNone listedNone listed
Projected fantasy points0.025.0
Projected 9-cat value0.0-1.0

Schedule: Deandre Ayton Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI. John Collins Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatDeandre AytonJohn Collins
Points0.013.7
Rebounds0.05.4
Assists0.01.0
Steals0.00.8
Blocks0.00.7
Threes0.01.4
Turnovers0.01.3

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 3 games of 2026-27. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: John Collins, 25.0 fantasy points per game to 25.0.

9-cat leagues: John Collins again, 86th overall against 102nd.

Deandre Ayton vs John Collins: the full comparison, per 36 and by punt build

Per game, side by side

StatDeandre AytonJohn Collins
Fantasy points per game25.025.0
Minutes25.227.2
PointsPTS11.513.7
ReboundsREB7.55.4
AssistsAST0.71.0
StealsSTL0.50.8
BlocksBLK0.90.7
Threes3PM0.01.4
Field goal %FG%68.0%55.1%
Free throw %FT%63.6%76.6%
TurnoversTO1.01.3

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Deandre Ayton playing tonight? · Is John Collins playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Deandre Ayton or John Collins in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start John Collins. John Collins has 1 game counted to 0 for Deandre Ayton, for 25.0 projected fantasy points against 0.0. 9-cat leagues: Deandre Ayton instead, 0.0 category value for the week to -1.0, because his category mix is worth more there. Deandre Ayton has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Deandre Ayton's minutes are down: 15.3 a game over his last 3 games of 2026-27, against 25.2 on the board. John Collins played 27.4 minutes a game over his last 2 games of 2026-27, in line with his 27.2 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Deandre Ayton or John Collins?

    Points leagues: John Collins, 25.0 fantasy points per game to 25.0. 9-cat leagues: John Collins again, 86th overall against 102nd.

  • Who wins more categories, Deandre Ayton or John Collins?

    Deandre Ayton is ahead in 4 (rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage, turnovers); John Collins in 5 (points, assists, steals, threes, free throw percentage), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 8:28 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number