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Jalen Johnson or Paolo Banchero? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), PFs ranked 2nd and 4th at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Oct 22, 9:54 AM ET.

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FP/G
48.0
9-cat
#19
Last 1 FP
43.8

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

FP/G
41.7
9-cat
#90
Last 1 FP
55.4

3 games in Week 1

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Jalen Johnson. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 48.0 fantasy points to 41.7.

9-cat leagues: Jalen Johnson again, 5.8 category value for the week to -2.1.

Jalen Johnson has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Jalen Johnson's minutes are down: 27.8 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 34.7 on the board.

Paolo Banchero's minutes are up: 41.1 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 35.1 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Jalen Johnson rookie cardsPaolo Banchero rookie cards

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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekJalen JohnsonPaolo Banchero
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)22
Back-to-backs10
Games, Week 243
Minutes, last games27.8 (last 1)41.1 (last 1)
Minutes, board34.735.1
Shots per 36, last games24.610.5
InjuryNone listedNone listed
Projected fantasy points95.983.3
Projected 9-cat value5.8-2.1

Schedule: Jalen Johnson Wed @ORL, Fri @CHA, Sat HOU. Paolo Banchero Wed ATL, Fri MIN, Sun @NYK.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatJalen JohnsonPaolo Banchero
Points44.746.0
Rebounds21.016.6
Assists15.511.0
Steals2.31.5
Blocks0.81.0
Threes3.12.6
Turnovers6.66.5

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 1 games of 2026-27. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Jalen Johnson, 48.0 fantasy points per game to 41.7.

9-cat leagues: Jalen Johnson again, 19th overall against 90th.

Per game, side by side

StatJalen JohnsonPaolo Banchero
Fantasy points per game48.041.7
Minutes34.735.1
PointsPTS22.423.0
ReboundsREB10.58.3
AssistsAST7.75.5
StealsSTL1.20.7
BlocksBLK0.40.5
Threes3PM1.61.3
Field goal %FG%48.0%47.7%
Free throw %FT%79.4%77.2%
TurnoversTO3.33.3

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Jalen Johnson playing tonight? · Is Paolo Banchero playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Jalen Johnson or Paolo Banchero in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Jalen Johnson. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 48.0 fantasy points to 41.7. 9-cat leagues: Jalen Johnson again, 5.8 category value for the week to -2.1. Jalen Johnson has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Jalen Johnson's minutes are down: 27.8 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 34.7 on the board. Paolo Banchero's minutes are up: 41.1 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 35.1 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Jalen Johnson or Paolo Banchero?

    Points leagues: Jalen Johnson, 48.0 fantasy points per game to 41.7. 9-cat leagues: Jalen Johnson again, 19th overall against 90th.

  • Who wins more categories, Jalen Johnson or Paolo Banchero?

    Jalen Johnson is ahead in 6 (rebounds, assists, steals, threes, field goal percentage, free throw percentage); Paolo Banchero in 2 (points, blocks), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 9:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number