Start Tony Pollard or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Pollard projects lower, 13.1 to 16.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 68 for Pollard, 110 for Jones.

Start

Tony Pollard

RB · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects: 13.1; recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB: 17.6; 6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 52%; Through Week 6
Target share: 8%; Through Week 6

Sit

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs IND · Questionable

Market projects: 16.4; recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB: 26.8; 5th most to RBs (2026)

Should I drop Tony Pollard for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Tony Pollard 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tony Pollard over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 7 game. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tony Pollard over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tony Pollard at 13.1 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.4, a gap of 3.3. Tony Pollard still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 68 against 110, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Tony Pollard this week yet, so his 13.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.1 and 10.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.6 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.7 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tony Pollard yet. His market-based projections were 16.1 and 10.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 13.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 3.3 points ahead of Tony Pollard on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 26.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 100 yards and a touchdown a game against IND and caught passes for 53 more yards.

Tony Pollard and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 17.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 107 yards and 0.2 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 19 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a leg injury.

Tony Pollard is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Tony Pollard played 52 percent of TEN snaps, took 67 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 41 percent of the red zone chances.

Tony Pollard, Week 3 against NYG: 32 of 60 snaps, 17 carries for 74 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 22 yards.

Tony Pollard, Week 4 against BAL: 34 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 48 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 2 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tony Pollard, Week 5 against HOU: 30 of 63 snaps, 14 carries for 52 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tony Pollard, Week 6 against IND: 19 carries for 76 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Tony Pollard played 17 games for TEN and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.

He ran 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tony Pollard for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Tony Pollard 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tony Pollard over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 7 game. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Tony Pollard?
No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Tony Pollard 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tony Pollard over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.