Start Bijan Robinson or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Bijan Robinson over Aaron Jones Sr.

Start

Bijan Robinson

RB · ATL · vs SF

Market projects: 26.1; recent weeks avg
SF D vs RB: 23.6; 10th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 6
Target share: 17%; Through Week 6

Sit

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs IND · Questionable

Market projects: 16.4; recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB: 26.8; 5th most to RBs (2026)

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Bijan Robinson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bijan Robinson projects 224 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (22.4 a game over 10 games), Aaron Jones Sr. 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bijan Robinson over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bijan Robinson at 26.1 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.4, a gap of 9.7. No player market is posted for Bijan Robinson this week yet, so his 26.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (30.8 and 21.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.6 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Bijan Robinson at ADP 2 and Aaron Jones Sr. at 110.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bijan Robinson yet. His market-based projections were 30.8 and 21.5 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 26.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.7 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Bijan Robinson 9.7 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Bijan Robinson and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 23.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 10th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 87 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against SF and caught passes for 45 more yards.

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 26.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 100 yards and a touchdown a game against IND and caught passes for 53 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bijan Robinson is not on the injury report.

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a leg injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Bijan Robinson played 68 percent of ATL snaps, took 64 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 48 percent of the red zone chances.

Bijan Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 51 of 71 snaps, 29 carries for 194 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Bijan Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 34 of 57 snaps, 19 carries for 145 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Bijan Robinson, Week 5 against BAL: 52 of 64 snaps, 17 carries for 86 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards.

Bijan Robinson, Week 6 against CHI: 9 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bijan Robinson played 17 games for ATL and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.

He ran 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Bijan Robinson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Bijan Robinson projects 224 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (22.4 a game over 10 games), Aaron Jones Sr. 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Bijan Robinson for Aaron Jones Sr.?
No. Keep Bijan Robinson: he projects 224 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (22.4 a game over 10 games), Aaron Jones Sr. 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.