Start Justin Herbert or Aaron Rodgers? Week 10
Updated Nov 10, 9:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Latest
- : Justin Herbert: Listed Questionable (Finger) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Justin Herbert over Aaron Rodgers
Herbert projects lower, 11.9 to 16.5, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 112 for Herbert, 231 for Rodgers.
- Market projects
- 11.8
- recent weeks avg
- BAL D vs QB
- 18.0
- 16th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 97%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 16.5
- fantasy pts
- CIN D vs QB
- 18.4
- 14th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 98%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop Justin Herbert for Aaron Rodgers?
Not on these numbers alone. Justin Herbert projects 112 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.0 a game over 8 games) and Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Justin Herbert over Aaron Rodgers. Justin Herbert is listed questionable.
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Our Week 10 call
Start Justin Herbert over Aaron Rodgers in Week 10.
Market-based projections have Justin Herbert at 11.8 points and Aaron Rodgers at 16.5, a gap of 4.7. Justin Herbert still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 112 against 231, and that outweighs a gap this size. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Justin Herbert this week yet, so his 11.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (12.0 and 11.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 238 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 11 and 11 market sources).
No Week 10 player market is posted for Justin Herbert yet. His market-based projections were 12.0 and 11.7 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 11.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
That puts Aaron Rodgers 4.7 points ahead of Justin Herbert on these projections.
Week 10 matchups
Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.
Justin Herbert and LAC visit BAL on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
BAL allowed 18.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 9 games, the 16th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 242 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against BAL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Aaron Rodgers has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.
Justin Herbert is listed as questionable with a finger injury.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 8 against CLE: 56 of 59 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.
Through Week 9, Justin Herbert played 97 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 287 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.
Justin Herbert, Week 5 against DEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 14 of 23 passes for 121 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 54 yards.
Justin Herbert, Week 6 against KC: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 37 passes for 204 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 26 yards.
Justin Herbert, Week 8 against LAR: 61 of 61 snaps, 24 of 31 passes for 257 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 15 yards.
Justin Herbert, Week 9 against HOU: 57 of 72 snaps, 13 of 23 passes for 193 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 7 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.
He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.
He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Justin Herbert for Aaron Rodgers?
Not on these numbers alone. Justin Herbert projects 112 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.0 a game over 8 games) and Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Justin Herbert over Aaron Rodgers. Justin Herbert is listed questionable.
Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Justin Herbert?
Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Rodgers projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.4 a game over 8 games) and Justin Herbert 112 (14.0 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Justin Herbert over Aaron Rodgers. Justin Herbert is listed questionable.
Week 10 on the board
- Is Justin Herbert playing Week 10?
- Is Aaron Rodgers playing Week 10?
- Chargers depth chart
- Steelers depth chart
- Week 10 QB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings