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Start Adonai Mitchell or Quentin Johnston? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 12:06 PM ET.

Start Quentin Johnston over Adonai Mitchell

Johnston projects lower, 7.0 to 7.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 98 for Johnston, 195 for Mitchell.

Start

Quentin Johnston

WR · LAC · at BAL

Market projects
7.0
recent weeks avg
BAL D vs WR
34.0
9th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
64 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 9
Target share
14%
Through Week 9
Sit

Adonai Mitchell

WR · NYJ · vs BUF

Market projects
7.4
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs WR
37.1
5th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
84 of 100 at WR
Snap share
70%
Through Week 9
Target share
23%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Quentin Johnston?

Not on these numbers alone. Adonai Mitchell projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 7 games) and Quentin Johnston 35 (4.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Quentin Johnston over Adonai Mitchell.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Quentin Johnston over Adonai Mitchell in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Quentin Johnston at 7.0 points and Adonai Mitchell at 7.4, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Quentin Johnston still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 98 against 195, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Quentin Johnston this week yet, so his 7.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (7.2 and 6.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Adonai Mitchell this week yet, so his 7.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (6.5, 5.4 and 10.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Adonai Mitchell yet. His market-based projections were 6.5, 5.4 and 10.2 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 7.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Quentin Johnston yet. His market-based projections were 7.2 and 6.8 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 7.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Adonai Mitchell 0.4 points ahead of Quentin Johnston on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Adonai Mitchell and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 37.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 154 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against BUF.

Quentin Johnston and LAC visit BAL on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 34.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 9 games, the 9th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 173 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against BAL.

By points allowed to the position, Adonai Mitchell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Adonai Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Quentin Johnston is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Adonai Mitchell played 70 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 50 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 7 against MIA: 26 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 8 against LV: 39 of 64 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 142 yards, 1 touchdown.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 9 against KC: 56 of 63 snaps, 7 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 9, Quentin Johnston played 81 percent of LAC snaps, drew 14 percent of the targets, earned 25 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Quentin Johnston, Week 4 against SEA: 53 of 71 snaps, 1 carry for -4 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 44 yards.

Quentin Johnston, Week 6 against KC: 56 of 68 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 57 yards.

Quentin Johnston, Week 8 against LAR: 50 of 61 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 37 yards.

Quentin Johnston, Week 9 against HOU: 60 of 72 snaps, 1 carry for 5 yards, 4 targets and 1 catch for 58 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Quentin Johnston played 14 games for LAC and scored 171.2 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR34.

He caught 51 of 85 targets for 735 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 514 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Quentin Johnston?

    Not on these numbers alone. Adonai Mitchell projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 7 games) and Quentin Johnston 35 (4.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Quentin Johnston over Adonai Mitchell.

  • Should I drop Quentin Johnston for Adonai Mitchell?

    Not on these numbers alone. Quentin Johnston projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 8 games) and Adonai Mitchell 35 (5.0 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Quentin Johnston over Adonai Mitchell.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board