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Start A.J. Brown or Puka Nacua? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 4:21 PM ET.

Start

WR · LAR · at LV

Market projects
20.3
recent weeks avg
LV D vs WR
32.6
15th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
99 of 100 at WR
Snap share
85%
Through Week 6
Target share
32%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · NE · at CHI · Questionable

Market projects
15.4
fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR
31.5
15th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
80 of 100 at WR
Snap share
60%
Through Week 6
Target share
23%
Through Week 6

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Our Week 7 call

Start Puka Nacua over A.J. Brown in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Puka Nacua at 20.3 points and A.J. Brown at 15.4, a gap of 4.9. No player market is posted for Puka Nacua this week yet, so his 20.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (16.5, 21.7 and 22.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Puka Nacua at ADP 3 and A.J. Brown at 17.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.4 fantasy points for A.J. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 68 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (12, 9 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Puka Nacua yet. His market-based projections were 16.5, 21.7 and 22.5 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 20.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Puka Nacua is 0.8 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Puka Nacua 4.9 points ahead of A.J. Brown on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

A.J. Brown and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 31.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 160 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.

Puka Nacua and LAR visit LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 32.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 15th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 161 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against LV.

By points allowed to the position, Puka Nacua has the softer matchup.

Injury status

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Puka Nacua is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown played 60 percent of NE snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Through Week 6, Puka Nacua played 85 percent of LAR snaps, drew 32 percent of the targets, earned 41 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Puka Nacua, Week 1 against SF: 43 of 61 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 74 yards.

Puka Nacua, Week 4 against PHI: 76 of 84 snaps, 1 carry for 2 yards, 12 targets and 9 catches for 125 yards, 1 touchdown.

Puka Nacua, Week 5 against BUF: 70 of 82 snaps, 2 carries for 9 yards, 24 targets and 17 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown.

Puka Nacua, Week 6 against ARI: 52 of 58 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 80 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 48 of 54 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 68 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Puka Nacua played 16 games for LAR and scored 375.0 PPR points, 23.4 a game, finishing WR1.

He caught 129 of 166 targets for 1715 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 1049 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board