Start A.J. Brown or Carnell Tate? Week 7

Our Week 7 call

Start A.J. Brown over Carnell Tate in Week 7.

Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 14.1 points and Carnell Tate at 11.1, a gap of 3.1. No player market is posted for Carnell Tate this week yet, so his 11.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (11.8 and 10.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take A.J. Brown at ADP 17 and Carnell Tate at 81.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.1 fantasy points for A.J. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 70 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 9 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Carnell Tate yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 10.4 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 11.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Carnell Tate is 0.4 touchdowns (6 market sources).

That puts A.J. Brown 3.1 points ahead of Carnell Tate on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

A.J. Brown and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 31.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 15th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 160 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.

Carnell Tate and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 36.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 165 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CLE.

By points allowed to the position, Carnell Tate has the softer matchup.

Injury status

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Carnell Tate is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown played 44 percent of NE snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Through Week 6, Carnell Tate played 82 percent of TEN snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 48 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Carnell Tate, Week 3 against NYG: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 4 against BAL: 54 of 64 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 145 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 5 against HOU: 48 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 6 against IND: 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 48 of 54 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 68 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

• Start CeeDee Lamb over A.J. Brown.
• Start Chris Olave over A.J. Brown.
• Start A.J. Brown over Christian Watson.
• Start Christian Watson over Carnell Tate.
• Start Courtland Sutton over Carnell Tate.
• Start Carnell Tate over Davante Adams.