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Should I start A.J. Brown or Puka Nacua in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 4:21 PM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

WR · LAR · at LV

Market projects
20.3
recent weeks avg
LV D vs WR
32.6
15th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
99 of 100 at WR
Snap share
85%
Through Week 6
Target share
32%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · NE · at CHI · Questionable

Market projects
15.3
fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR
31.5
15th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
80 of 100 at WR
Snap share
60%
Through Week 6
Target share
23%
Through Week 6
Start Nacua or Brown? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Puka Nacua: 88 percent of the snaps and 32 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against A.J. Brown's 60 percent of the snaps and 23 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR8 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Market-based projection
15.4 pts a game

WR28 · LAR · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Market-based projection
22.7 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
60

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 17th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Puka Nacua, and the board ranks him 60th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 6.

The market-based projections

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 15.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 21st highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Puka Nacua is 5.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Puka Nacua's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 60 percent of NE snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 21 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Puka Nacua has been on the field for 85 percent of LAR snaps, drawn 32 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 3 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 52 targets have averaged 9.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against PHI he carried 1 time for 2 yards, caught 9 of 12 targets for 125 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against BUF he carried 2 times for 9 yards, caught 17 of 24 targets for 138 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against ARI he caught 6 of 7 targets for 80 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Puka Nacua played 16 games and scored 375.0 PPR points, 23.4 a game, finishing WR1.

He caught 129 of 166 targets for 1715 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets.

That came to 10.4 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Puka Nacua was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Puka Nacua scored 23.4 PPR points a game and A.J. Brown 14.7, 8.8 a game between them.

A.J. Brown finished WR11 that year and Puka Nacua WR1.

Puka Nacua had 45 more targets than A.J. Brown, 166 to 121.

Puka Nacua had 712 more receiving yards than A.J. Brown, 1715 to 1003.

This season Puka Nacua holds the bigger snap share, 85 percent against 60 percent.

This season Puka Nacua holds the bigger target share, 32 percent against 23 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Puka Nacua has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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