Start Chuba Hubbard or Ashton Jeanty? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Jeanty projects lower, 15.5 to 15.7, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 25 for Jeanty, 83 for Hubbard.

Start

Ashton Jeanty

RB · LV · vs LAR

Market projects: 15.5; recent weeks avg
LAR D vs RB: 19.6; 12th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 60 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 70%; Through Week 6
Target share: 17%; Through Week 6

Sit

Chuba Hubbard

RB · CAR · vs TB

Market projects: 15.7; recent weeks avg
TB D vs RB: 17.0; 3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 82 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 80%; Through Week 6
Target share: 7%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Chuba Hubbard?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chuba Hubbard projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 11 games), Ashton Jeanty 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Chuba Hubbard. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Ashton Jeanty over Chuba Hubbard in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Ashton Jeanty at 15.5 points and Chuba Hubbard at 15.7, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Ashton Jeanty still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 25 against 83, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty this week yet, so his 15.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (15.8, 14.4 and 16.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Chuba Hubbard this week yet, so his 15.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (16.0 and 15.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Chuba Hubbard yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 15.3 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 15.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Chuba Hubbard is 0.9 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty yet. His market-based projections were 15.8, 14.5 and 16.1 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 15.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Ashton Jeanty is 0.7 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Chuba Hubbard 0.2 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Chuba Hubbard and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 65 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against TB and caught passes for 36 more yards.

Ashton Jeanty and LV host LAR on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LAR allowed 19.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 93 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against LAR and caught passes for 40 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ashton Jeanty has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chuba Hubbard is not on the injury report.

Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Chuba Hubbard played 80 percent of CAR snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 2 against ATL: 43 of 66 snaps, 12 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 3 against CLE: 65 of 77 snaps, 19 carries for 82 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 28 yards.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 4 against DET: 63 of 75 snaps, 20 carries for 122 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 6 against PHI: 74 of 79 snaps, 28 carries for 120 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 1 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Ashton Jeanty played 70 percent of LV snaps, took 66 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 44 percent of the red zone chances.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 5 against NE: 32 of 60 snaps, 10 carries for 27 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 50 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 6 against BUF: 38 of 66 snaps, 10 carries for 22 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 36 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chuba Hubbard played 15 games for CAR and scored 125.4 PPR points, 8.4 a game, finishing RB38.

He ran 134 times for 511 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 39 targets for 223 yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Chuba Hubbard?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Chuba Hubbard projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 11 games), Ashton Jeanty 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Chuba Hubbard. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Chuba Hubbard for Ashton Jeanty?
No. Keep Chuba Hubbard: he projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 11 games), Ashton Jeanty 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Chuba Hubbard.