Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Chuba Hubbard?

Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games) and Chuba Hubbard 175 (15.9 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Chuba Hubbard over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

Start Chuba Hubbard or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 5:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Chuba Hubbard over Aaron Jones Sr.

Hubbard projects lower, 15.7 to 16.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 83 for Hubbard, 110 for Jones.

Start

Chuba Hubbard

RB · CAR · vs TB

Market projects: 15.7; recent weeks avg
TB D vs RB: 17.0; 3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 82 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 80%; Through Week 6
Target share: 7%; Through Week 6

Sit

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs IND · Questionable

Market projects: 16.4; recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB: 23.9; 6th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 69 of 100 at RB

Should I drop Chuba Hubbard for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Not on these numbers alone. Chuba Hubbard projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 11 games) and Aaron Jones Sr. 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Chuba Hubbard over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Chuba Hubbard over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Chuba Hubbard at 15.7 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.4, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chuba Hubbard still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 83 against 110, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Chuba Hubbard this week yet, so his 15.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (16.0 and 15.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.6 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.7 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 0.8 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Chuba Hubbard yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 15.3 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 15.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Chuba Hubbard is 0.9 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.8 points ahead of Chuba Hubbard on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 23.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 96 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND and caught passes for 45 more yards.

Chuba Hubbard and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 65 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against TB and caught passes for 36 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a leg injury.

Chuba Hubbard is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Chuba Hubbard played 80 percent of CAR snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 2 against ATL: 43 of 66 snaps, 12 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 3 against CLE: 65 of 77 snaps, 19 carries for 82 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 28 yards.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 4 against DET: 63 of 75 snaps, 20 carries for 122 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 6 against PHI: 74 of 79 snaps, 28 carries for 120 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 1 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Chuba Hubbard played 15 games for CAR and scored 125.4 PPR points, 8.4 a game, finishing RB38.

He ran 134 times for 511 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 39 targets for 223 yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Chuba Hubbard for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Not on these numbers alone. Chuba Hubbard projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 11 games) and Aaron Jones Sr. 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Chuba Hubbard over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Chuba Hubbard?
Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games) and Chuba Hubbard 175 (15.9 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Chuba Hubbard over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.