Start Chuba Hubbard or Bucky Irving? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 4:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Irving projects lower, 11.6 to 15.7, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 45 for Irving, 83 for Hubbard.

Start

Bucky Irving

RB · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 11.6; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB: 25.7; 5th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 77 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 65%; Through Week 6
Target share: 11%; Through Week 6

Sit

Chuba Hubbard

RB · CAR · vs TB

Market projects: 15.7; recent weeks avg
TB D vs RB: 17.0; 3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 82 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 80%; Through Week 6
Target share: 7%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Bucky Irving for Chuba Hubbard?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chuba Hubbard projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 11 games), Bucky Irving 120 (12.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bucky Irving over Chuba Hubbard. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bucky Irving over Chuba Hubbard in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bucky Irving at 11.6 points and Chuba Hubbard at 15.7, a gap of 4.1. Bucky Irving still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 45 against 83, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Bucky Irving this week yet, so his 11.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (11.5, 11.2 and 11.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Chuba Hubbard this week yet, so his 15.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (16.0 and 15.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Chuba Hubbard yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 15.3 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 15.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Chuba Hubbard is 0.9 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bucky Irving yet. His market-based projections were 11.5, 11.2 and 11.9 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 11.6, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Bucky Irving is 0.6 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Chuba Hubbard 4.1 points ahead of Bucky Irving on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Chuba Hubbard and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 65 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against TB and caught passes for 36 more yards.

Bucky Irving and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 25.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Bucky Irving has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chuba Hubbard is not on the injury report.

Bucky Irving is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Chuba Hubbard played 80 percent of CAR snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 2 against ATL: 43 of 66 snaps, 12 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 3 against CLE: 65 of 77 snaps, 19 carries for 82 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 28 yards.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 4 against DET: 63 of 75 snaps, 20 carries for 122 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 6 against PHI: 74 of 79 snaps, 28 carries for 120 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 1 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Bucky Irving played 65 percent of TB snaps, took 61 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

Bucky Irving, Week 3 against MIN: 36 of 69 snaps, 15 carries for 46 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 4 against GB: 37 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 61 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 5 against DAL: 39 of 72 snaps, 21 carries for 165 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Bucky Irving, Week 6 against PIT: 63 of 74 snaps, 19 carries for 46 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chuba Hubbard played 15 games for CAR and scored 125.4 PPR points, 8.4 a game, finishing RB38.

He ran 134 times for 511 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 39 targets for 223 yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bucky Irving played 10 games for TB and scored 138.5 PPR points, 13.9 a game, finishing RB34.

He ran 173 times for 588 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 35 targets for 277 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bucky Irving for Chuba Hubbard?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Chuba Hubbard projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 11 games), Bucky Irving 120 (12.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bucky Irving over Chuba Hubbard. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Chuba Hubbard for Bucky Irving?
No. Keep Chuba Hubbard: he projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 11 games), Bucky Irving 120 (12.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bucky Irving over Chuba Hubbard.