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Start Derrick Henry or Braelon Allen? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 9:31 PM ET.

Start

RB · BAL · vs CIN

Market projects
18.4
recent weeks avg
CIN D vs RB
18.6
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
58%
Through Week 6
Target share
6%
Through Week 6
Sit

RB · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects
13.0
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs RB
26.1
6th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
56%
Through Week 6
Target share
8%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Braelon Allen for Derrick Henry?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 170 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 10 games), Braelon Allen 141 (14.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 18.4 points and Braelon Allen at 13.0, a gap of 5.3. No player market is posted for Derrick Henry this week yet, so his 18.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (21.3 and 15.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Braelon Allen this week yet, so his 13.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (11.1 and 14.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Derrick Henry at ADP 15 and Braelon Allen at 180.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Derrick Henry yet. His market-based projections were 21.3 and 15.4 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 18.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Braelon Allen yet. His market-based projections were 11.1 and 14.9 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 13.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Derrick Henry 5.3 points ahead of Braelon Allen on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Derrick Henry and BAL host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 32 more yards.

Braelon Allen and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 26.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 101 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 39 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Braelon Allen is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Derrick Henry played 58 percent of BAL snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 53 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 3 against DAL: 43 of 64 snaps, 26 carries for 89 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Derrick Henry, Week 4 against TEN: 40 of 64 snaps, 23 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 5 against ATL: 42 of 76 snaps, 24 carries for 102 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Through Week 6, Braelon Allen played 56 percent of NYJ snaps, took 49 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 3 against DET: 34 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 3 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 4 against CHI: 30 of 32 snaps, 14 carries for 59 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 5 against CLE: 60 of 70 snaps, 24 carries for 116 yards, 4 targets and 1 catch for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 6 against NE: 17 carries for 78 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Braelon Allen for Derrick Henry?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 170 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 10 games), Braelon Allen 141 (14.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen.

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Braelon Allen?

    No. Keep Derrick Henry: he projects 170 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 10 games), Braelon Allen 141 (14.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen.

Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board