Start Rico Dowdle or Blake Corum? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Rico Dowdle over Blake Corum

Start

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 8.0; fantasy pts
NO D vs RB: 29.7; most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 81 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 36%; Through Week 6
Target share: 9%; Through Week 6

Sit

Blake Corum

RB · LAR · at LV

Market projects: 7.8; recent weeks avg
LV D vs RB: 23.7; 7th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 85 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 27%; Through Week 6
Target share: 5%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Blake Corum?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Blake Corum projects 65 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.5 a game over 10 games), Rico Dowdle 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Blake Corum. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Rico Dowdle over Blake Corum in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Rico Dowdle at 8.0 points and Blake Corum at 7.8, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Blake Corum this week yet, so his 7.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (8.0, 6.1 and 9.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Rico Dowdle at ADP 76 and Blake Corum at 128.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.0 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 34 rushing yards, 11 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (12, 10, 11 and 13 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Blake Corum yet. His market-based projections were 8.0, 6.1 and 9.5 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 7.8, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Blake Corum is 0.4 touchdowns (3 market sources).

That puts Rico Dowdle 0.2 points ahead of Blake Corum on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Rico Dowdle and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 29.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 117 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 31 more yards.

Blake Corum and LAR visit LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 23.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 114 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against LV and caught passes for 39 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Rico Dowdle has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rico Dowdle is not on the injury report.

Blake Corum is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Rico Dowdle played 36 percent of PIT snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 1 against ATL: 39 of 67 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 6 against TB: 21 of 79 snaps, 7 carries for 40 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Through Week 6, Blake Corum played 27 percent of LAR snaps, took 33 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Blake Corum, Week 3 against DEN: 25 of 86 snaps, 6 carries for 15 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 0 yards.

Blake Corum, Week 4 against PHI: 13 of 84 snaps, 5 carries for 14 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Blake Corum, Week 5 against BUF: 22 of 82 snaps, 5 carries for 19 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards, 1 touchdown.

Blake Corum, Week 6 against ARI: 16 of 58 snaps, 9 carries for 42 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Blake Corum played 17 games for LAR and scored 122.2 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB40.

He ran 145 times for 746 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 14 targets for 36 yards.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Blake Corum?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Blake Corum projects 65 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.5 a game over 10 games), Rico Dowdle 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Blake Corum. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Blake Corum for Rico Dowdle?
No. Keep Blake Corum: he projects 65 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.5 a game over 10 games), Rico Dowdle 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Blake Corum.