Start Bo Nix or Bryce Young? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Nix projects lower, 15.7 to 16.0, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 116 for Nix, 212 for Young.

Start

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 15.7; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB: 22.1; 4th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 65 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Bryce Young

QB · CAR · vs TB

Market projects: 16.0; recent weeks avg
TB D vs QB: 15.3; 10th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 58 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 97%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Bo Nix for Bryce Young?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bryce Young projects 183 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.6 a game over 11 games), Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Bryce Young. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bo Nix over Bryce Young in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 15.7 points and Bryce Young at 16.0, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Bo Nix still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 116 against 212, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 15.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (16.0, 16.3 and 14.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Bryce Young this week yet, so his 16.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (15.7 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bryce Young yet. His market-based projections were 15.7 and 16.3 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 16.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Bryce Young is 0.2 touchdowns (3 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 16.0, 16.3 and 14.9 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 15.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Bryce Young 0.3 points ahead of Bo Nix on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Bryce Young and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 15.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 1-2 touchdowns a game against TB, with an interception a game.

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 247 yards and 2.7 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bryce Young is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Bryce Young played 97 percent of CAR snaps, dropped back 217 times and threw an average of 9.2 air yards per attempt.

Bryce Young, Week 2 against ATL: 62 of 66 snaps, 23 of 36 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 3 against CLE: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 47 passes for 291 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

Bryce Young, Week 4 against DET: 75 of 75 snaps, 29 of 41 passes for 329 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 7 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 6 against PHI: 79 of 79 snaps, 20 of 39 passes for 281 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bryce Young played 16 games for CAR and scored 229.0 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing QB19.

He completed 304 of 478 passes for 3011 yards, 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 54 times for 216 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bo Nix for Bryce Young?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Bryce Young projects 183 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.6 a game over 11 games), Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Bryce Young. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Bryce Young for Bo Nix?
No. Keep Bryce Young: he projects 183 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.6 a game over 11 games), Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Bryce Young.