Should I drop Brock Purdy for Bo Nix?

Not on these numbers alone. Brock Purdy projects 171 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 10 games) and Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Bo Nix.

Start Brock Purdy or Bo Nix? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Brock Purdy over Bo Nix

Start

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · at ATL

Market projects: 16.9; recent weeks avg
ATL D vs QB: 19.1; 13th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 97%; Through Week 5

Sit

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 16.2; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB: 23.2; 3rd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Bo Nix for Brock Purdy?

Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games) and Brock Purdy 171 (17.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Bo Nix.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Brock Purdy over Bo Nix in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Brock Purdy at 16.9 points and Bo Nix at 16.2, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Brock Purdy this week yet, so his 16.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (17.6 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 16.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.0 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Brock Purdy at ADP 86 and Bo Nix at 116.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Brock Purdy yet. His market-based projections were 17.6 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.9, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 16.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Brock Purdy 0.7 points ahead of Bo Nix on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Brock Purdy and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 19.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.2 interceptions.

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 23.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 252 yards and 2.8 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.6 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Brock Purdy played 97 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 156 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 2 against MIA: 44 of 52 snaps, 20 of 22 passes for 287 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 3 against ARI: 54 of 54 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 297 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 35 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 4 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 31 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bo Nix for Brock Purdy?
Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games) and Brock Purdy 171 (17.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Bo Nix.
Should I drop Brock Purdy for Bo Nix?
Not on these numbers alone. Brock Purdy projects 171 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 10 games) and Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over Bo Nix.