Start Chase Brown or Braelon Allen? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:56 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Chase Brown over Braelon Allen

Start

Chase Brown

RB · CIN · at BAL

Market projects: 17.1; recent weeks avg
BAL D vs RB: 18.5; 6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 68 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 70%; Through Week 5
Target share: 15%; Through Week 5

Sit

Braelon Allen

RB · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects: 13.3; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs RB: 26.1; 4th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 61%; Through Week 6
Target share: 8%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Braelon Allen for Chase Brown?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chase Brown projects 177 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 11 games), Braelon Allen 141 (14.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chase Brown over Braelon Allen.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Chase Brown over Braelon Allen in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Chase Brown at 17.1 points and Braelon Allen at 13.3, a gap of 3.8. No player market is posted for Chase Brown this week yet, so his 17.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.5 and 17.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Braelon Allen this week yet, so his 13.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (11.1, 14.9 and 13.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Chase Brown at ADP 16 and Braelon Allen at 180.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Chase Brown yet. His market-based projections were 16.5 and 17.7 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 17.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Chase Brown is 0.7 touchdowns (9 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Braelon Allen yet. His market-based projections were 11.1, 14.9 and 13.8 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 13.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Chase Brown 3.8 points ahead of Braelon Allen on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Chase Brown and CIN visit BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 80 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against BAL and caught passes for 14 more yards.

Braelon Allen and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 26.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 101 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 39 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chase Brown is not on the injury report.

Braelon Allen is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Chase Brown played 70 percent of CIN snaps, took 65 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 5 against MIA: 39 of 65 snaps, 13 carries for 39 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 21 yards.

Through Week 6, Braelon Allen played 61 percent of NYJ snaps, took 49 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 3 against DET: 34 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 3 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 4 against CHI: 30 of 32 snaps, 14 carries for 59 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 5 against CLE: 60 of 70 snaps, 24 carries for 116 yards, 4 targets and 1 catch for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 6 against NE: 54 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 78 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Braelon Allen for Chase Brown?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Chase Brown projects 177 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 11 games), Braelon Allen 141 (14.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chase Brown over Braelon Allen.
Should I drop Chase Brown for Braelon Allen?
No. Keep Chase Brown: he projects 177 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 11 games), Braelon Allen 141 (14.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chase Brown over Braelon Allen.