Should I drop Brock Purdy for C.J. Stroud?

Not on these numbers alone. Brock Purdy projects 171 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 10 games) and C.J. Stroud 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over C.J. Stroud.

Start Brock Purdy or C.J. Stroud? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Brock Purdy over C.J. Stroud

Purdy projects lower, 16.9 to 18.7, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 86 for Purdy, 185 for Stroud.

Start

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · at ATL

Market projects: 16.9; recent weeks avg
ATL D vs QB: 19.1; 13th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 97%; Through Week 5

Sit

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · vs NYG

Market projects: 18.6; recent weeks avg
NYG D vs QB: 19.9; 9th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Brock Purdy?

Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 165 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 10 games) and Brock Purdy 171 (17.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over C.J. Stroud.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Brock Purdy over C.J. Stroud in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Brock Purdy at 16.9 points and C.J. Stroud at 18.6, a gap of 1.8. Brock Purdy still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 86 against 185, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Brock Purdy this week yet, so his 16.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (17.6 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 18.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (23.2 and 14.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 23.2 and 14.1 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 18.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Brock Purdy yet. His market-based projections were 17.6 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.9, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts C.J. Stroud 1.8 points ahead of Brock Purdy on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

C.J. Stroud and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 210 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NYG, with 1.2 interceptions.

Brock Purdy and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 19.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.2 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, C.J. Stroud has the softer matchup.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 237 times and threw an average of 9.5 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 3 against IND: 54 of 54 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 167 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 4 against DAL: 55 of 55 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 347 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Through Week 5, Brock Purdy played 97 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 156 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 2 against MIA: 44 of 52 snaps, 20 of 22 passes for 287 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 3 against ARI: 54 of 54 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 297 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 35 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 4 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 31 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Brock Purdy?
Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 165 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 10 games) and Brock Purdy 171 (17.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over C.J. Stroud.
Should I drop Brock Purdy for C.J. Stroud?
Not on these numbers alone. Brock Purdy projects 171 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 10 games) and C.J. Stroud 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Brock Purdy over C.J. Stroud.