Start Jaylen Warren or Bucky Irving? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:46 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET, set your lineup before then.

Start Jaylen Warren over Bucky Irving

Start

Jaylen Warren

RB · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 18.8; recent weeks avg
NO D vs RB: 31.1; most to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 76%; Through Week 6
Target share: 14%; Through Week 6

Sit

Bucky Irving

RB · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 11.4; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB: 28.0; 4th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 61%; Through Week 6
Target share: 11%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Bucky Irving for Jaylen Warren?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaylen Warren projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 10 games), Bucky Irving 120 (12.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Warren over Bucky Irving.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jaylen Warren over Bucky Irving in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jaylen Warren at 18.8 points and Bucky Irving at 11.4, a gap of 7.4. No player market is posted for Jaylen Warren this week yet, so his 18.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (19.9 and 17.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Bucky Irving this week yet, so his 11.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (11.5 and 11.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Jaylen Warren at ADP 62 and Bucky Irving at 45.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jaylen Warren yet. His market-based projections were 19.9 and 17.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 18.8, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bucky Irving yet. His market-based projections were 11.5 and 11.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 11.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Jaylen Warren 7.4 points ahead of Bucky Irving on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jaylen Warren and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 31.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 133 yards and 2.0 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 27 more yards.

Bucky Irving and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 120 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 38 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Jaylen Warren has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaylen Warren is not on the injury report.

Bucky Irving is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jaylen Warren played 76 percent of PIT snaps, took 69 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Warren, Week 3 against CIN: 56 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 127 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 4 against CLE: 70 of 72 snaps, 17 carries for 93 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 5 against IND: 52 of 60 snaps, 15 carries for 101 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Jaylen Warren, Week 6 against TB: 14 carries for 50 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 28 yards.

Through Week 6, Bucky Irving played 61 percent of TB snaps, took 61 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

Bucky Irving, Week 3 against MIN: 36 of 69 snaps, 15 carries for 46 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 4 against GB: 37 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 61 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 5 against DAL: 39 of 72 snaps, 21 carries for 165 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Bucky Irving, Week 6 against PIT: 19 carries for 46 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bucky Irving played 10 games for TB and scored 138.5 PPR points, 13.9 a game, finishing RB34.

He ran 173 times for 588 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 35 targets for 277 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bucky Irving for Jaylen Warren?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaylen Warren projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 10 games), Bucky Irving 120 (12.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Warren over Bucky Irving.
Should I drop Jaylen Warren for Bucky Irving?
No. Keep Jaylen Warren: he projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 10 games), Bucky Irving 120 (12.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Warren over Bucky Irving.