Start Caleb Williams or Tanner McKee? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 1:16 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Caleb Williams over Tanner McKee

Start

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · vs NE

Market projects: 18.8; fantasy pts
NE D vs QB: 14.6; 6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 90 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 96%; Through Week 6

Sit

Tanner McKee

QB · PHI · vs DAL

Market projects: 16.5; fantasy pts
DAL D vs QB: 21.4; 5th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 94 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Tanner McKee for Caleb Williams?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.6 a game over 10 games), Tanner McKee 144 (14.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Tanner McKee, 18.8 to 16.5 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Caleb Williams over Tanner McKee in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Caleb Williams at 18.8 points and Tanner McKee at 16.5, a gap of 2.4. Tanner McKee's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.8 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 250 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 20 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (11, 14, 10 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Tanner McKee, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tanner McKee is 212 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (8, 9 and 11 market sources).

That puts Caleb Williams 2.4 points ahead of Tanner McKee on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Caleb Williams and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 14.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Tanner McKee and PHI host DAL on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

DAL allowed 21.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 239 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against DAL, with 0.2 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Tanner McKee has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Tanner McKee is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Caleb Williams played 96 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 111 times and threw an average of 6.4 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Through Week 6, Tanner McKee played 100 percent of PHI snaps, dropped back 48 times and threw an average of 8.0 air yards per attempt.

Tanner McKee, Week 6 against CAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 26 of 45 passes for 215 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tanner McKee played 4 games for PHI and scored 14.8 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing QB55.

He completed 24 of 43 passes for 274 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, and ran 8 times for 8 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 3 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tanner McKee, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 21 of 40 passes for 241 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 3 yards, 12.9 PPR points.

Tanner McKee, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 4 of 70 snaps, 0 of 0 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for -2 yards, -0.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tanner McKee for Caleb Williams?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.6 a game over 10 games), Tanner McKee 144 (14.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Tanner McKee, 18.8 to 16.5 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Tanner McKee?
No. Keep Caleb Williams: he projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.6 a game over 10 games), Tanner McKee 144 (14.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Tanner McKee, 18.8 to 16.5 projected PPR points.