Start Caleb Williams or Bo Nix? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 1:26 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Caleb Williams over Bo Nix

Start

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · vs NE

Market projects: 18.8; fantasy pts
NE D vs QB: 14.6; 6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 91 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 96%; Through Week 6

Sit

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 17.7; fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB: 22.1; 4th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 82 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Bo Nix for Caleb Williams?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.6 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Bo Nix, 18.8 to 17.7 projected PPR points.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Caleb Williams rookie cards Bo Nix rookie cards

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Sleeper ESPN Yahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 8am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 7 call

Start Caleb Williams over Bo Nix in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Caleb Williams at 18.8 points and Bo Nix at 17.7, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Caleb Williams at ADP 87 and Bo Nix at 116.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.8 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 249 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 20 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 10 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.7 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 90 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 220 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 13 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (6, 7, 6 and 8 market sources).

That puts Caleb Williams 1.1 points ahead of Bo Nix on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Caleb Williams and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 14.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 247 yards and 2.7 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Caleb Williams played 96 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 111 times and threw an average of 6.4 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bo Nix for Caleb Williams?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.6 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Bo Nix, 18.8 to 17.7 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Bo Nix?
No. Keep Caleb Williams: he projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.6 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Caleb Williams over Bo Nix, 18.8 to 17.7 projected PPR points.