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Start Zay Flowers or Chris Olave? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Start

WR · NO · vs CAR

Market projects
15.5
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs WR
29.8
13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
85 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 9
Target share
28%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
14.5
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs WR
36.6
6th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
79 of 100 at WR
Snap share
67%
Through Week 9
Target share
30%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Zay Flowers for Chris Olave?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chris Olave projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 8 games), Zay Flowers 102 (14.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Chris Olave over Zay Flowers.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Chris Olave over Zay Flowers in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Chris Olave at 15.5 points and Zay Flowers at 14.5, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Chris Olave this week yet, so his 15.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (15.4 and 15.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Zay Flowers this week yet, so his 14.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (14.2, 18.2 and 10.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Chris Olave at ADP 25 and Zay Flowers at 23.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Chris Olave yet. His market-based projections were 15.4 and 15.7 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 15.5, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Chris Olave is 0-1 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Zay Flowers yet. His market-based projections were 14.2, 18.2 and 10.9 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 14.5, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Chris Olave 1.1 points ahead of Zay Flowers on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Chris Olave and NO host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 144 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CAR.

Zay Flowers and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 36.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 158 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against LAC.

By points allowed to the position, Zay Flowers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chris Olave is not on the injury report.

Zay Flowers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Chris Olave played 81 percent of NO snaps, drew 28 percent of the targets, earned 47 percent of the air yards and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Olave, Week 5 against MIN: 41 of 45 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 46 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 6 against NYG: 42 of 72 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chris Olave, Week 7 against PIT: 44 of 57 snaps, 10 targets and 6 catches for 56 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 9 against CLE: 64 of 75 snaps, 12 targets and 7 catches for 98 yards.

Through Week 9, Zay Flowers played 67 percent of BAL snaps, drew 30 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Zay Flowers, Week 6 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 11 targets and 6 catches for 66 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 7 against CIN: 57 of 67 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 137 yards, 1 touchdown.

Zay Flowers, Week 8 against BUF: 42 of 51 snaps, 5 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 9 against JAX: 37 of 56 snaps, 3 carries for 17 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for Chris Olave?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Chris Olave projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 8 games), Zay Flowers 102 (14.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Chris Olave over Zay Flowers.

  • Should I drop Chris Olave for Zay Flowers?

    No. Keep Chris Olave: he projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 8 games), Zay Flowers 102 (14.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Chris Olave over Zay Flowers.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board