Start Tez Johnson or Cooper Kupp? Week 7

Updated Oct 23, 2:51 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Tez Johnson over Cooper Kupp

Start

Tez Johnson

WR · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 6.3; fantasy pts
CAR D vs WR: 29.4; 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 8 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 34%; Through Week 6
Target share: 7%; Through Week 6

Sit

Cooper Kupp

WR · SEA · vs KC

Market projects: 6.1; fantasy pts
KC D vs WR: 20.8; fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 57 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 69%; Through Week 6
Target share: 13%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Tez Johnson for Cooper Kupp?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Cooper Kupp projects 56 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 9 games), Tez Johnson 45 (5.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tez Johnson over Cooper Kupp, 6.3 to 6.1 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tez Johnson over Cooper Kupp in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tez Johnson at 6.3 points and Cooper Kupp at 6.1, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.3 fantasy points for Tez Johnson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tez Johnson is 27 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (9, 9 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.1 fantasy points for Cooper Kupp, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Cooper Kupp is 25 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (12, 13 and 13 market sources).

That puts Tez Johnson 0.2 points ahead of Cooper Kupp on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tez Johnson and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CAR.

Cooper Kupp and SEA host KC on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

KC allowed 20.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 112 yards and no touchdowns a game against KC.

By points allowed to the position, Tez Johnson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tez Johnson is not on the injury report.

Cooper Kupp is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Tez Johnson played 34 percent of TB snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tez Johnson, Week 3 against MIN: 16 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 4 against GB: 35 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 5 against DAL: 28 of 72 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 64 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 6 against PIT: 25 of 74 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards.

Through Week 6, Cooper Kupp played 69 percent of SEA snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 15 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Cooper Kupp, Week 3 against WAS: 45 of 67 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 46 yards, 1 touchdown.

Cooper Kupp, Week 4 against LAC: 34 of 60 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 13 yards.

Cooper Kupp, Week 5 against SF: 51 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards.

Cooper Kupp, Week 6 against DEN: 72 of 85 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 50 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tez Johnson played 16 games for TB and scored 92.4 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR67.

He caught 28 of 44 targets for 322 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 212 air yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Cooper Kupp played 16 games for SEA and scored 117.3 PPR points, 7.3 a game, finishing WR53.

He caught 47 of 70 targets for 593 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 300 air yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tez Johnson for Cooper Kupp?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Cooper Kupp projects 56 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 9 games), Tez Johnson 45 (5.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tez Johnson over Cooper Kupp, 6.3 to 6.1 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Cooper Kupp for Tez Johnson?
No. Keep Cooper Kupp: he projects 56 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 9 games), Tez Johnson 45 (5.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tez Johnson over Cooper Kupp, 6.3 to 6.1 projected PPR points.