Start Corey Kiner or Seth McGowan? Week 7

Our Week 7 call

Start Corey Kiner over Seth McGowan in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Corey Kiner at 3.5 points and Seth McGowan at 2.6, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Corey Kiner's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Seth McGowan this week yet, so his 2.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (2.0, 2.4 and 3.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on Corey Kiner is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.5 fantasy points for Corey Kiner, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Corey Kiner is 15 rushing yards and 0.1 touchdowns (7 and 13 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Seth McGowan yet. His market-based projections were 2.0, 2.4 and 3.6 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 2.6, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Seth McGowan is 0.1 touchdowns (13 market sources).

That puts Corey Kiner 0.8 points ahead of Seth McGowan on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Corey Kiner and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 79 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against CHI and caught passes for 23 more yards.

Seth McGowan and IND visit MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 14.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 72 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against MIN and caught passes for 18 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Corey Kiner has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Corey Kiner is not on the injury report.

Seth McGowan is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Corey Kiner played 12 percent of NE snaps, took 17 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Corey Kiner, Week 3 against JAX: 8 of 63 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 4 against BUF: 2 of 76 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 5 against LV: 15 of 75 snaps, 6 carries for 52 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 6 against NYJ: 12 of 68 snaps, 11 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 6, Seth McGowan played 19 percent of IND snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Seth McGowan, Week 3 against HOU: 11 of 71 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 4 against WAS: 19 of 66 snaps, 6 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 5 against PIT: 19 of 71 snaps, 5 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 3 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 6 against TEN: 19 of 83 snaps, 4 carries for 27 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Corey Kiner played 4 games for ARI and scored 9.3 PPR points, 2.3 a game, finishing RB112.

He ran 12 times for 58 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 15 yards.

He was on the field for 7 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

• Start Devin Singletary over Corey Kiner.
• Start Corey Kiner over Isaiah Davis.
• Start Jaylen Wright over Corey Kiner.
• Start Devin Singletary over Seth McGowan.
• Start Isaiah Davis over Seth McGowan.
• Start Jaylen Wright over Seth McGowan.