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Start Dalton Kincaid or Harold Fannin Jr.? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 3:56 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Harold Fannin Jr.: Listed Questionable (Groin) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Harold Fannin Jr. over Dalton Kincaid

Fannin projects lower, 9.2 to 9.7, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 73 for Fannin, 158 for Kincaid.

Start

TE · CLE · vs HOU

Market projects
9.2
recent weeks avg
HOU D vs TE
10.1
4th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
40 of 100 at TE
Snap share
84%
Through Week 9
Target share
22%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
9.7
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs TE
13.9
15th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
79 of 100 at TE
Snap share
66%
Through Week 9
Target share
17%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Harold Fannin Jr. for Dalton Kincaid?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), Harold Fannin Jr. 67 (9.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Harold Fannin Jr. over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Harold Fannin Jr. over Dalton Kincaid in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Harold Fannin Jr. at 9.2 points and Dalton Kincaid at 9.7, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Harold Fannin Jr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 73 against 158, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Harold Fannin Jr. this week yet, so his 9.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (8.3, 8.5 and 10.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid this week yet, so his 9.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (10.2 and 9.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid yet. His market-based projections were 10.2 and 9.2 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 9.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 0.4 touchdowns (6 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Harold Fannin Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 8.3, 8.5 and 10.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 9.2, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Harold Fannin Jr. is 0.2 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Dalton Kincaid 0.5 points ahead of Harold Fannin Jr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

Harold Fannin Jr. and CLE host HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 10.1 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 46 yards and 0.1 touchdowns a game against HOU.

By points allowed to the position, Dalton Kincaid has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Harold Fannin Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Dalton Kincaid played 66 percent of BUF snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 17 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 8 against BAL: 47 of 82 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 9 against MIN: 3 targets and 3 catches for 28 yards.

Through Week 9, Harold Fannin Jr. played 84 percent of CLE snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Harold Fannin Jr., Week 7 against TEN: 58 of 70 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 91 yards.

Harold Fannin Jr., Week 8 against PIT: 60 of 70 snaps, 12 targets and 10 catches for 154 yards.

Harold Fannin Jr., Week 9 against NO: 61 of 73 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 42 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Harold Fannin Jr. played 16 games for CLE and scored 186.4 PPR points, 11.7 a game, finishing TE6.

He caught 72 of 107 targets for 731 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 379 air yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Harold Fannin Jr. for Dalton Kincaid?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), Harold Fannin Jr. 67 (9.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Harold Fannin Jr. over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Harold Fannin Jr.?

    No. Keep Dalton Kincaid: he projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), Harold Fannin Jr. 67 (9.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Harold Fannin Jr. over Dalton Kincaid.

Should I drop Dalton Kincaid?Should I drop Harold Fannin Jr.?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board