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Start Isaiah Likely or Dalton Kincaid? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:06 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

TE · NYG · vs WAS

Market projects
11.8
fantasy pts
WAS D vs TE
20.7
2nd most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
90 of 100 at TE
Snap share
75%
Through Week 9
Target share
27%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
9.7
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs TE
13.9
15th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
79 of 100 at TE
Snap share
66%
Through Week 9
Target share
17%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Isaiah Likely for Dalton Kincaid?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), Isaiah Likely 86 (10.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Isaiah Likely over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Isaiah Likely over Dalton Kincaid in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Isaiah Likely at 11.8 points and Dalton Kincaid at 9.7, a gap of 2.1. No player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid this week yet, so his 9.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (10.2 and 9.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Isaiah Likely at ADP 144 and Dalton Kincaid at 158.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for Isaiah Likely, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Isaiah Likely is 49 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (14, 12 and 14 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid yet. His market-based projections were 10.2 and 9.2 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 9.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 0.4 touchdowns (6 market sources).

That puts Isaiah Likely 2.1 points ahead of Dalton Kincaid on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Isaiah Likely and NYG host WAS on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

WAS allowed 20.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 75 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against WAS.

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

By points allowed to the position, Isaiah Likely has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Isaiah Likely is not on the injury report.

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Isaiah Likely played 75 percent of NYG snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 21 percent of the air yards and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Isaiah Likely, Week 5 against WAS: 71 of 89 snaps, 13 targets and 11 catches for 94 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Isaiah Likely, Week 6 against NO: 70 of 77 snaps, 11 targets and 6 catches for 99 yards, 1 touchdown.

Isaiah Likely, Week 7 against HOU: 57 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Isaiah Likely, Week 9 against PHI: 50 of 67 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 53 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Dalton Kincaid played 66 percent of BUF snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 17 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 8 against BAL: 47 of 82 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 9 against MIN: 3 targets and 3 catches for 28 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Isaiah Likely played 14 games for BAL and scored 61.7 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing TE45.

He caught 27 of 36 targets for 307 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 190 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Isaiah Likely for Dalton Kincaid?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), Isaiah Likely 86 (10.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Isaiah Likely over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Isaiah Likely?

    No. Keep Dalton Kincaid: he projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), Isaiah Likely 86 (10.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Isaiah Likely over Dalton Kincaid.

Should I drop Dalton Kincaid?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board