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Start Travis Kelce or Dalton Kincaid? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 3:16 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Travis Kelce: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

TE · KC · at ATL

Market projects
11.2
recent weeks avg
ATL D vs TE
13.9
16th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
87 of 100 at TE
Snap share
77%
Through Week 9
Target share
20%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
9.7
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs TE
13.9
15th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
79 of 100 at TE
Snap share
66%
Through Week 9
Target share
17%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Travis Kelce?

Not on these numbers alone. Dalton Kincaid projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games) and Travis Kelce 96 (12.0 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Travis Kelce over Dalton Kincaid.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Travis Kelce over Dalton Kincaid in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Travis Kelce at 11.2 points and Dalton Kincaid at 9.7, a gap of 1.5. No player market is posted for Travis Kelce this week yet, so his 11.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (11.1, 10.9 and 11.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid this week yet, so his 9.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (10.2 and 9.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Travis Kelce at ADP 113 and Dalton Kincaid at 158.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Travis Kelce yet. His market-based projections were 11.1, 10.9 and 11.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 11.2, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Travis Kelce is 0.4 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid yet. His market-based projections were 10.2 and 9.2 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 9.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 0.4 touchdowns (6 market sources).

That puts Travis Kelce 1.5 points ahead of Dalton Kincaid on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Travis Kelce and KC visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 16th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 55 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against ATL.

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

By points allowed to the position, Dalton Kincaid has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Travis Kelce is not on the injury report.

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Travis Kelce played 77 percent of KC snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 22 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Travis Kelce, Week 6 against LAC: 40 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 53 yards.

Travis Kelce, Week 7 against SEA: 44 of 53 snaps, 8 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Travis Kelce, Week 8 against DEN: 54 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 67 yards.

Travis Kelce, Week 9 against NYJ: 46 of 66 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 72 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Dalton Kincaid played 66 percent of BUF snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 17 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 8 against BAL: 47 of 82 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 9 against MIN: 3 targets and 3 catches for 28 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Travis Kelce played 17 games for KC and scored 193.2 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing TE3.

He caught 76 of 108 targets for 851 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 428 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Travis Kelce?

    Not on these numbers alone. Dalton Kincaid projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games) and Travis Kelce 96 (12.0 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Travis Kelce over Dalton Kincaid.

  • Should I drop Travis Kelce for Dalton Kincaid?

    Not on these numbers alone. Travis Kelce projects 96 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.0 a game over 8 games) and Dalton Kincaid 94 (11.7 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Travis Kelce over Dalton Kincaid.

Should I drop Dalton Kincaid?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board