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Start Theo Johnson or Daniel Bellinger? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:46 AM ET.

Start

TE · TEN · vs JAX

Market projects
2.6
recent weeks avg
JAX D vs TE
10.3
6th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Limited
26 of 100 at TE
Snap share
43%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

TE · NYG · vs WAS

Market projects
1.6
fantasy pts
WAS D vs TE
20.7
2nd most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Limited
31 of 100 at TE
Snap share
33%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Daniel Bellinger over Theo Johnson in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Daniel Bellinger at 2.6 points and Theo Johnson at 1.6, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Daniel Bellinger this week yet, so his 2.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (2.3 and 3.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Daniel Bellinger yet. His market-based projections were 2.3 and 3.0 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 2.6, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

Player markets imply 1.6 fantasy points for Theo Johnson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Theo Johnson is 5 receiving yards, 0-1 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (8, 8 and 13 market sources).

That puts Daniel Bellinger 1.0 points ahead of Theo Johnson on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Daniel Bellinger and TEN host JAX on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

JAX allowed 10.3 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 31 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX.

Theo Johnson and NYG host WAS on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

WAS allowed 20.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 75 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against WAS.

By points allowed to the position, Theo Johnson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Daniel Bellinger is not on the injury report.

Theo Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Daniel Bellinger played 43 percent of TEN snaps, drew 6 percent of the targets, earned 4 percent of the air yards and had 1 percent of the red zone chances.

Daniel Bellinger, Week 5 against HOU: 28 of 63 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Daniel Bellinger, Week 6 against IND: 22 of 46 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Daniel Bellinger, Week 7 against CLE: 30 of 63 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Daniel Bellinger, Week 8 against CIN: 31 of 77 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 36 yards.

Through Week 9, Theo Johnson played 33 percent of NYG snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 5 percent of the air yards and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

Theo Johnson, Week 3 against TEN: 11 of 64 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Theo Johnson, Week 4 against ARI: 22 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 11 yards, 1 touchdown.

Theo Johnson, Week 5 against WAS: 43 of 89 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards.

Theo Johnson, Week 9 against PHI: 12 of 67 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Daniel Bellinger played 16 games for NYG and scored 59.6 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE46.

He caught 19 of 26 targets for 286 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 154 air yards.

He was on the field for 48 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Theo Johnson played 15 games for NYG and scored 127.8 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing TE18.

He caught 45 of 74 targets for 528 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 341 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board