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Start Drew Sample or Dawson Knox? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 6:01 PM ET.

Start

TE · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
3.2
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs TE
13.9
15th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
84 of 100 at TE
Snap share
69%
Through Week 9
Target share
8%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · CIN · vs PIT

Market projects
2.8
fantasy pts
PIT D vs TE
12.7
13th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
41 of 100 at TE
Snap share
51%
Through Week 9
Target share
3%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Dawson Knox over Drew Sample in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Dawson Knox at 3.2 points and Drew Sample at 2.8, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Dawson Knox this week yet, so his 3.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.3 and 3.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Dawson Knox yet. His market-based projections were 3.3 and 3.1 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.2, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

Player markets imply 2.8 fantasy points for Drew Sample, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Drew Sample is 0.1 touchdowns (11 market sources).

That puts Dawson Knox 0.4 points ahead of Drew Sample on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Dawson Knox and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

Drew Sample and CIN host PIT on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

PIT allowed 12.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 57 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against PIT.

By points allowed to the position, Dawson Knox has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dawson Knox is not on the injury report.

Drew Sample is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Dawson Knox played 69 percent of BUF snaps, drew 8 percent of the targets, earned 3 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Dawson Knox, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Dawson Knox, Week 6 against LV: 47 of 68 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Dawson Knox, Week 8 against BAL: 57 of 82 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Dawson Knox, Week 9 against MIN: 5 targets and 4 catches for 37 yards.

Through Week 9, Drew Sample played 51 percent of CIN snaps, drew 3 percent of the targets, earned 0 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Drew Sample, Week 5 against MIA: 34 of 65 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Drew Sample, Week 7 against BAL: 29 of 53 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards, 1 touchdown.

Drew Sample, Week 8 against TEN: 29 of 74 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Drew Sample, Week 9 against ATL: 38 of 57 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dawson Knox played 17 games for BUF and scored 103.7 PPR points, 6.1 a game, finishing TE28.

He caught 36 of 49 targets for 417 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 234 air yards.

He was on the field for 61 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Drew Sample played 17 games for CIN and scored 31.9 PPR points, 1.9 a game, finishing TE64.

He caught 15 of 20 targets for 106 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and -3 air yards.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board