Start Kenneth Walker or Derrick Henry? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 1:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Kenneth Walker over Derrick Henry

Start

Kenneth Walker

RB · KC · at SEA

Market projects: 21.3; fantasy pts
SEA D vs RB: 22.1; 13th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 63 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 75%; Through Week 6
Target share: 15%; Through Week 6

Sit

Derrick Henry

RB · BAL · vs CIN

Market projects: 17.6; recent weeks avg
CIN D vs RB: 18.6; 7th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 94 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 58%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Derrick Henry for Kenneth Walker?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kenneth Walker projects 224 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (20.4 a game over 11 games), Derrick Henry 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kenneth Walker over Derrick Henry.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Kenneth Walker over Derrick Henry in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Kenneth Walker at 21.3 points and Derrick Henry at 17.6, a gap of 3.7. Kenneth Walker's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Derrick Henry this week yet, so his 17.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (21.3, 15.4 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Kenneth Walker at ADP 22 and Derrick Henry at 15. Market coverage on Kenneth Walker is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 21.3 fantasy points for Kenneth Walker, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kenneth Walker is 91 rushing yards and 0.8 touchdowns (11 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Derrick Henry yet. His market-based projections were 21.3, 15.4 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 17.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Derrick Henry is 1.1 touchdowns (10 market sources).

That puts Kenneth Walker 3.7 points ahead of Derrick Henry on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Kenneth Walker and KC visit SEA on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

SEA allowed 22.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 13th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 77 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against SEA and caught passes for 31 more yards.

Derrick Henry and BAL host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 32 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Kenneth Walker has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kenneth Walker is not on the injury report.

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Kenneth Walker played 75 percent of KC snaps, took 76 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 58 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenneth Walker, Week 2 against IND: 66 of 80 snaps, 24 carries for 117 yards, 10 targets and 6 catches for 61 yards.

Kenneth Walker, Week 3 against MIA: 38 of 52 snaps, 18 carries for 70 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 3 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Kenneth Walker, Week 4 against LV: 45 of 60 snaps, 22 carries for 177 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Kenneth Walker, Week 6 against LAC: 45 of 61 snaps, 19 carries for 128 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 6, Derrick Henry played 58 percent of BAL snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 53 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 3 against DAL: 43 of 64 snaps, 26 carries for 89 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Derrick Henry, Week 4 against TEN: 40 of 64 snaps, 23 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 5 against ATL: 42 of 76 snaps, 24 carries for 102 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kenneth Walker played 17 games for SEA and scored 191.9 PPR points, 11.3 a game, finishing RB22.

He ran 221 times for 1027 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 31 of 36 targets for 282 yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Derrick Henry for Kenneth Walker?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kenneth Walker projects 224 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (20.4 a game over 11 games), Derrick Henry 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kenneth Walker over Derrick Henry.
Should I drop Kenneth Walker for Derrick Henry?
No. Keep Kenneth Walker: he projects 224 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (20.4 a game over 11 games), Derrick Henry 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kenneth Walker over Derrick Henry.