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Start Efton Chism III or Ja'Kobi Lane? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 4:26 PM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Munich, set your lineup before then.

Start

WR · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
5.8
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs WR
36.6
6th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
19 of 100 at WR
Snap share
57%
Through Week 9
Target share
11%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · NE · at DET

Market projects
5.7
recent weeks avg
DET D vs WR
37.7
2nd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
75 of 100 at WR
Snap share
67%
Through Week 9
Target share
13%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Ja'Kobi Lane for Efton Chism III?

Not on these numbers alone. Ja'Kobi Lane projects 27 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (3.9 a game over 7 games) and Efton Chism III 29 (4.2 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Ja'Kobi Lane over Efton Chism III.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Ja'Kobi Lane over Efton Chism III in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Ja'Kobi Lane at 5.8 points and Efton Chism III at 5.7, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Ja'Kobi Lane this week yet, so his 5.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (6.0, 7.5 and 3.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Efton Chism III this week yet, so his 5.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.4, 6.8 and 5.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Ja'Kobi Lane yet. His market-based projections were 6.0, 7.5 and 3.9 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.8, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Efton Chism III yet. His market-based projections were 4.4, 6.8 and 5.8 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 0.3 touchdowns (12 market sources).

That puts Ja'Kobi Lane 0.1 points ahead of Efton Chism III on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Ja'Kobi Lane and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 36.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 158 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against LAC.

Efton Chism III and NE visit DET on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

DET allowed 37.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against DET.

By points allowed to the position, Efton Chism III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ja'Kobi Lane is not on the injury report.

Efton Chism III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Ja'Kobi Lane played 57 percent of BAL snaps, drew 11 percent of the targets, earned 16 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Ja'Kobi Lane, Week 6 against CLE: 31 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Ja'Kobi Lane, Week 7 against CIN: 46 of 67 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.

Ja'Kobi Lane, Week 8 against BUF: 33 of 51 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 13 yards.

Ja'Kobi Lane, Week 9 against JAX: 32 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 9, Efton Chism III played 67 percent of NE snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

Efton Chism III, Week 7 against CHI: 34 of 54 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Efton Chism III, Week 8 against MIA: 53 of 60 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 37 yards.

Efton Chism III, Week 9 against GB: 32 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 49 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Efton Chism III played 8 games for NE and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and 35 air yards.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Ja'Kobi Lane for Efton Chism III?

    Not on these numbers alone. Ja'Kobi Lane projects 27 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (3.9 a game over 7 games) and Efton Chism III 29 (4.2 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Ja'Kobi Lane over Efton Chism III.

  • Should I drop Efton Chism III for Ja'Kobi Lane?

    Not on these numbers alone. Efton Chism III projects 29 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.2 a game over 7 games) and Ja'Kobi Lane 27 (3.9 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Ja'Kobi Lane over Efton Chism III.

Should I drop Ja'Kobi Lane?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board