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Start Jordan Watkins or Efton Chism III? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 3:51 PM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Munich, set your lineup before then.

Start

WR · NE · at DET

Market projects
5.7
recent weeks avg
DET D vs WR
37.7
2nd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
75 of 100 at WR
Snap share
67%
Through Week 9
Target share
13%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · SF · at DAL

Market projects
5.5
recent weeks avg
DAL D vs WR
35.6
7th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
94 of 100 at WR
Snap share
56%
Through Week 9
Target share
8%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Efton Chism III over Jordan Watkins in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Efton Chism III at 5.7 points and Jordan Watkins at 5.5, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Efton Chism III this week yet, so his 5.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.4, 6.8 and 5.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jordan Watkins this week yet, so his 5.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (5.2 and 5.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Efton Chism III yet. His market-based projections were 4.4, 6.8 and 5.8 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 0.3 touchdowns (12 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Jordan Watkins yet. His market-based projections were 5.2 and 5.8 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 5.5, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jordan Watkins is 0.3 touchdowns (5 market sources).

That puts Efton Chism III 0.2 points ahead of Jordan Watkins on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Efton Chism III and NE visit DET on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

DET allowed 37.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against DET.

Jordan Watkins and SF visit DAL on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DAL allowed 35.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 164 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL.

By points allowed to the position, Efton Chism III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Efton Chism III is not on the injury report.

Jordan Watkins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Efton Chism III played 67 percent of NE snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

Efton Chism III, Week 7 against CHI: 34 of 54 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Efton Chism III, Week 8 against MIA: 53 of 60 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 37 yards.

Efton Chism III, Week 9 against GB: 32 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 49 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Jordan Watkins played 56 percent of SF snaps, drew 8 percent of the targets, earned 14 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Jordan Watkins, Week 5 against SEA: 22 of 60 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jordan Watkins, Week 6 against WAS: 47 of 62 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 22 yards.

Jordan Watkins, Week 7 against ATL: 50 of 66 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 56 yards.

Jordan Watkins, Week 9 against LV: 56 of 73 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Efton Chism III played 8 games for NE and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and 35 air yards.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jordan Watkins played 4 games for SF and scored 4.6 PPR points, 1.2 a game.

He caught 2 of 3 targets for 26 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets and 25 air yards.

He was on the field for 7 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board